CLEARMARKET SIGNAL // WIRE LEDGER

Atomic wire bulletins · prediction-market surveillance · polymarket, kalshi, others · daily · permanent URLs

active: 24 | cadence: daily | feed: rss

filters | url-driven, bookmarkable

all | cross-venue | benchmark-drift | news-cycle | volume-spike

all | polymarket | kalshi | + ext_inbound

wire feed | 24 active, descending chrono

2026-06-03 · TODAY [ 18 wires ]
01:49 UTC	CMSIG20260603DV01	CROSS-VENUE	Anthropic IPO before 2027: Kalshi 76% vs Polymarket 70%	POLY · KAL	html · json
01:49 UTC	CMSIG20260603DV00	CROSS-VENUE	Databricks IPO before 2027: Polymarket 24% vs Kalshi 16%	POLY · KAL	html · json
01:49 UTC	CMSIG20260603DV02	CROSS-VENUE	xAI Grok 5 release before Jul 1 2026: Kalshi 16% vs Polymarket 11%	POLY · KAL	html · json
01:46 UTC	CMSIG20260603VS06	VOLUME-SPIKE	Israel-Iran permanent peace by June 30: 19% on $202K	POLY	html · json
01:46 UTC	CMSIG20260603VS03	VOLUME-SPIKE	Hormuz traffic normal by June 15: 14% on $222K	POLY	html · json
01:46 UTC	CMSIG20260603VS02	VOLUME-SPIKE	US-Iran permanent peace by June 7: 29% on $642K	POLY	html · json
01:46 UTC	CMSIG20260603VS09	VOLUME-SPIKE	US ally acquires nuke before 2027: 10% on $37K	POLY	html · json
01:46 UTC	CMSIG20260603VS00	VOLUME-SPIKE	BTC $150K by June 30: 1% on $5.8M surge	POLY	html · json
01:46 UTC	CMSIG20260603VS08	VOLUME-SPIKE	Russia captures all Donetsk by Dec 31: 5% on $43K	POLY	html · json
01:46 UTC	CMSIG20260603VS01	VOLUME-SPIKE	Paxton TX Senate runoff margin: 99% on $668K	KAL	html · json
01:46 UTC	CMSIG20260603VS07	VOLUME-SPIKE	Nasdaq-100 above 30K before Dec 31: 99% on $63K	KAL	html · json
01:45 UTC	CMSIG20260603BD26	BENCHMARK-DRIFT	Kalshi inflation surge 2026: 98%; CPI at 3.9%	KAL	html · json
01:45 UTC	CMSIG20260603BD25	BENCHMARK-DRIFT	Inflation >4% in 2026: 98%; CPI currently 3.9%	POLY	html · json
01:45 UTC	CMSIG20260603BD23	BENCHMARK-DRIFT	Fed lower bound ≤2.75% before 2027: 6%; rate at 3.75%	POLY	html · json
01:45 UTC	CMSIG20260603BD27	BENCHMARK-DRIFT	Fed upper bound ≥5.25% before 2027: 3%; rate at 3.75%	POLY	html · json
01:45 UTC	CMSIG20260603BD10	BENCHMARK-DRIFT	Fed upper bound ≥4.5% by end-2026: 4%; rate at 3.75%	POLY	html · json
00:50 UTC	CMSIG2026060306	NEWS-CYCLE	Trump agrees to Iranian demands by June 30: Polymarket 68%	POLY	html · json
00:30 UTC	CMSIG2026060308	NEWS-CYCLE	Bitcoin above $100k by Dec 31, 2026: Kalshi 37%	KAL	html · json

2026-06-02 · YESTERDAY [ 4 wires ]
16:41 UTC	CMSIG2026060202	NEWS-CYCLE	Fed holds with dissent at June FOMC: Kalshi 66%	KAL	html · json
15:52 UTC	CMSIG2026060204	NEWS-CYCLE	May 2026 nonfarm payrolls implied 70k-80k: Kalshi	KAL	html · json
13:35 UTC	CMSIG2026060207	NEWS-CYCLE	Hormuz traffic normal by end of June: Polymarket 42%	POLY	html · json
00:00 UTC	CMSIG2026060205	NEWS-CYCLE	US unemployment above 5% before 2027: Kalshi 27%	KAL	html · json

2026-06-01 · 2 DAYS AGO [ 2 wires ]
16:15 UTC	CMSIG2026060101	NEWS-CYCLE	Fed funds upper bound seen 3.50-3.75%: Kalshi 78%	KAL	html · json
04:01 UTC	CMSIG2026060103	NEWS-CYCLE	US inflation surge in 2026: Kalshi implied 4.5-5.0%	KAL	html · json

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programmatic access · one payload, every surface

AI grounded search reads the embedded JSON-LD DataCatalog. Developers fetch the JSON list or any single wire. Agents call the MCP tools. Indexers (Perplexity etc.) auto-discover via RSS. AI crawlers discover via /llms.txt. Same canonical wire records at every surface.

HTML	this page — embedded JSON-LD `@type: DataCatalog`	`https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/`
JSON	full wire list, newest first	`/signals.json`
JSON	any single wire record	`/signals/<slug>.json`
JSON	every wire for a given event	`/signals/for-event/<event_id>.json`
MCP	agent tool calls (read-only)	`list_signals · get_signal`
RSS	auto-discovered feed for indexers (Perplexity etc.)	`/signals/rss.xml`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

  events event catalog → ← home