{
  "$schema": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/signal/v1.json",
  "record_id": "CMSIG2026071208",
  "record_slug": "save-act-becomes-law-kalshi-8-2026-07-12",
  "schema_version": "v0.2.0",
  "provenance_version": "0.2.0",
  "published_at": "2026-07-12T01:26:45.000Z",
  "semantic_title": "SAVE Act becoming law prices as a deep long-shot on Kalshi",
  "telemetry": "Kalshi 8%",
  "headline": "SAVE Act becomes law: Kalshi 8%",
  "category_tag": "MOMENTUM_REPRICING",
  "secondary_tags": [],
  "detection_path": "news_cycle",
  "pre_news_classification": "concurrent",
  "status": {
    "state": "live",
    "as_of": "2026-08-01",
    "outcome": null,
    "outcome_basis": null,
    "final_price": null,
    "resolved_at": null
  },
  "target_event_id": "CM-EVT-QFC5QGJS96",
  "target_event_slug": "kxsaveact-27",
  "event_question": "Will the SAVE Act become law?",
  "linked_event_ids": [],
  "primary_market": {
    "platform": "kalshi",
    "platform_market_id": "KXSAVEACT-27-JAN04",
    "question_raw": "Will \"SAVE Act\" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?",
    "current_price": 0.077,
    "volume_24h_usd": 3870.68,
    "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
    "resolution_source": "White House",
    "resolves_at": "2027-01-04T15:00:00Z"
  },
  "related_markets": [],
  "bullets": [
    "Kalshi prices only 8% on the SAVE Act becoming law, resolving via White House confirmation.",
    "Trump's refusal to sign the housing bill as a protest against the SAVE Act suggests active presidential opposition; the 8% is consistent with that stance.",
    "No companion market available with a price to benchmark the SAVE Act probability against a broader legislative timeline.",
    "Resolves via White House; the automatic-law mechanism for the housing bill does not apply to the SAVE Act, which requires affirmative action."
  ],
  "atomic_claims": [
    {
      "type": "news_event",
      "field_provenance": {
        "story": {
          "tier": "mediated",
          "method": "exa_search",
          "source": "by",
          "source_url": "https://latimesnow.com/2026/07/12/trump-wont-sign-housing-bill-in-save-america-act-protest/",
          "retrieved_at": "2026-07-13T10:56:18+00:00"
        }
      },
      "significance": {
        "threshold": 5,
        "threshold_unit": "rank",
        "passed": true,
        "reason": "surfaced in the daily Exa news-cycle scan; mechanically matched to an active kalshi market"
      },
      "story": "President Trump declined to sign the bipartisan housing bill passed in June, allowing it to become law automatically, while withholding his signature as a protest over the SAVE America Act.",
      "publisher": "by",
      "published_at": "2026-07-12T01:26:45.000Z",
      "source_url": "https://latimesnow.com/2026/07/12/trump-wont-sign-housing-bill-in-save-america-act-protest/"
    },
    {
      "type": "pm_response",
      "field_provenance": {
        "notes": {
          "tier": "editorial",
          "method": "llm_judge_cm_signal_v1"
        }
      },
      "notes": "Kalshi at 8% prices the SAVE Act as a near-dead legislative priority, consistent with Trump's active protest posture described in the news."
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "label": "by: Trump won't sign housing bill, in SAVE America Act protest - LA Times",
      "url": "https://latimesnow.com/2026/07/12/trump-wont-sign-housing-bill-in-save-america-act-protest/",
      "published_at": "2026-07-12T01:26:45.000Z",
      "retrieved_at": "2026-07-13T10:56:18+00:00"
    }
  ],
  "field_provenance": {
    "pm_data": "kalshi_api",
    "news_context": "exa_search",
    "editorial_judgment": "cm_signal_llm_judge"
  },
  "canonical_urls": {
    "html": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/save-act-becomes-law-kalshi-8-2026-07-12/",
    "json": "https://clearmarket.fyi/signals/save-act-becomes-law-kalshi-8-2026-07-12.json"
  },
  "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "_provenance_registry": {
    "direct": "Unaltered extraction from primary venue/source API (e.g., polymarket_clob_api, kalshi_api, BLS, FRED). Highest trust tier.",
    "mediated": "Information fetched via grounded agentic retrieval (e.g., perplexity_grounded). MUST carry source_url to the underlying primary source.",
    "derived": "Algorithmic computation from listed inputs. Chain only as fresh as the oldest input timestamp (see as_of).",
    "editorial": "Interpretive classification produced by a versioned LLM prompt template (prompts auditable in github.com/JDSource/clearmarket/prompts)."
  },
  "_provenance_canonical": "https://clearmarket.fyi/schema/provenance/v1"
}