Read by desks. Queried by agents.
Graded resolutions · Cross-venue linked · Catalysts tagged
Prediction markets turn live opinion into a price. CM Signal flags where those prices diverge: from each other, from benchmarks, from the news, or on unusual volume.
Published daily.
| Aug 01, 09:56 | CMSIG20260801DV00 | CROSS-VENUE | Arc token launch before 2027 trades far apart across venuesPolymarket 30% vs Kalshi 47% | POLY·KAL |
| Aug 01, 09:56 | CMSIG20260801DV01 | CROSS-VENUE | Discord IPO odds diverge heading into year-end windowPolymarket 31% vs Kalshi 39% | POLY·KAL |
| Aug 01, 09:56 | CMSIG20260801DV03 | CROSS-VENUE | Moderate-growth economy call stays split across the major desksPolymarket 56% vs Kalshi 62% | POLY·KAL |
| Aug 01, 09:56 | CMSIG20260801DV02 | CROSS-VENUE | Recession outcome for end-2026 builds a premium on one venuePolymarket 6% vs Kalshi 12% | POLY·KAL |
| Aug 01, 09:55 | CMSIG20260801VS01 | VOLUME-SPIKE | Iran leadership-change odds hold near zero through a volume rush5% · $272K 24h | POLY |