Read by desks. Queried by agents.
Graded resolutions · Cross-venue linked · Catalysts tagged
Prediction markets turn live opinion into a price. CM Signal flags where those prices diverge: from each other, from benchmarks, from the news, or on unusual volume.
Published daily.
| Sep 16, 13:04 | CMSIG20260916DV00 | CROSS-VENUE | Arc token launch odds split sharply across venuesPolymarket 21% vs Kalshi 41% | POLY·KAL |
| Sep 16, 13:04 | CMSIG20260916DV03 | CROSS-VENUE | Anduril IPO trades far apart, with venues on opposite sides of ten percentPolymarket 10% vs Kalshi 4% | POLY·KAL |
| Sep 16, 13:04 | CMSIG20260916DV01 | CROSS-VENUE | Discord IPO pricing builds a premium on the smaller deskPolymarket 10% vs Kalshi 19% | POLY·KAL |
| Sep 16, 13:04 | CMSIG20260916DV02 | CROSS-VENUE | Recession-scenario odds diverge across venues into year-endPolymarket 20% vs Kalshi 27% | POLY·KAL |
| Sep 16, 13:04 | CMSIG20260916DV04 | CROSS-VENUE | US recession in 2026 stays near long-shot odds, gaps modestly across desksPolymarket 14% vs Kalshi 9% | POLY·KAL |