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the reference layer for
prediction markets.

Read by desks. Queried by agents.

Graded resolutions · Cross-venue linked · Catalysts tagged

1,998 events · cross-venue linked · graded resolutions

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GET /events/fed-april-2026-rate-decision live

{
  "event_id":           "CM-EVT-CYQ4MMGJN4",
  "slug":               "fed-april-2026-rate-decision",
  "category":           "macro",
  "tags": ["fed-rate-decisions", "fomc", "monetary-policy"],
  "primary_market_id":  "CM-MKT-001013",
  "catalyst_dates": [
    { "date": "2026-04-29", "event": "FOMC meeting Day 1" },
    { "date": "2026-04-30", "event": "FOMC statement + presser" }
  ],
  "venues_covered":     ["kalshi", "polymarket"],
  "cross_platform_link": {
    "kalshi":     { "market_count": 11 },
    "polymarket": { "market_count": 4 }
  },
  "resolution": {
    "source_name":  "Federal Reserve Board of Governors",
    "source_type":  "central_bank",
    "mechanism":    "deterministic"
  },
  "field_provenance": {
    "tags":                "clearmarket_editorial",
    "cross_platform_link": "derived"
  }
}

CLEARMARKET SIGNAL

the intelligence layer.

Prediction markets turn live opinion into a price. CM Signal flags where those prices diverge: from each other, from benchmarks, from the news, or on unusual volume.
Published daily.

latest automated alerts · system feed

Jun 02, 21:49	CMSIG20260603DV01	CROSS-VENUE	Anthropic IPO before 2027: Kalshi 76% vs Polymarket 70%	POLY·KAL
Jun 02, 21:49	CMSIG20260603DV00	CROSS-VENUE	Databricks IPO before 2027: Polymarket 24% vs Kalshi 16%	POLY·KAL
Jun 02, 21:49	CMSIG20260603DV02	CROSS-VENUE	xAI Grok 5 release before Jul 1 2026: Kalshi 16% vs Polymarket 11%	POLY·KAL
Jun 02, 21:46	CMSIG20260603VS06	VOLUME-SPIKE	Israel-Iran permanent peace by June 30: 19% on $202K	POLY
Jun 02, 21:46	CMSIG20260603VS03	VOLUME-SPIKE	Hormuz traffic normal by June 15: 14% on $222K	POLY

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the reference layer for prediction markets.

the intelligence layer.

the reference layer for
prediction markets.