CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

XRP price, June 4, 2026 [ resolves 2026-06-04 (1D) ]

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 11 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $0.8 2026-06-04 99.9%
$532 $783
A 0xfea158…437e
≥ $0.9 2026-06-04 99.9%
$347 $592
A 0x5b2df7…f902
≥ $1 2026-06-04 96.8%
$217 $421
A 0x9420ad…ff71
≥ $1.1 2026-06-04 98.5%
$7.9K $8.3K
A 0xb2a1d8…8e2c
≥ $1.2 2026-06-04 38.3%
$55 $55
A 0x31917b…29d1
≥ $1.3 2026-06-04 8.0%
$67 $77
A 0xf368e9…91bf
≥ $1.4 2026-06-04 11.0%
$5 $111
A 0xc58f62…23aa
≥ $1.5 2026-06-04 $5 $5
A 0xbdfcea…d1e8
≥ $1.6 2026-06-04 $712 $714
A 0x022b50…a12e
≥ $1.7 2026-06-04 $156 $722
A 0x59a1e5…3df3
≥ $1.8 2026-06-04 $67 $490
A 0xc3da03…0e25
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers binance.com link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 11 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/xrp-above-on-june-4-2026/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/xrp-above-on-june-4-2026.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("xrp-above-on-june-4-2026")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HPS09L15J9",
  "slug": "xrp-above-on-june-4-2026",
  "question": "XRP price, June 4, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "xrp",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 11,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 12310,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 81,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": "binance.com",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT",
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →