Will a Democrat win the Wisconsin Governor primary by the 2026 election? [ resolves 2026-08-11 (69D) ]
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 29 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 41.0% | $541 | $14K | C | 0x00925a…51de | ||
| Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 35.0% | $135 | $12K | C | 0x0f1843…7d94 | ||
| Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 13.0% | $302 | $13K | C | 0x6bb7b4…4925 | ||
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.6% | $2 | $4.0K | C | 0xf23716…c1f7 | ||
| Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.6% | $2 | $3.4K | C | 0xdda5ff…4e7b | ||
| Will Chris Larson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.6% | $2 | $9.4K | C | 0xeb823d…15f0 | ||
| Will Tim Jacobson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.5% | — | $2.1K | C | 0x5df504…f5b8 | ||
| Will Missy Hughes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.1% | $2 | $2.7K | C | 0xe77345…5586 | ||
| Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.1% | $2 | $3.1K | C | 0x80c407…d2b2 | ||
| Will Brett Hulsey win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.1% | $2 | $2.3K | C | 0x759155…1dc2 | ||
| Will Zachary Roper win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.1% | $4 | $2.6K | C | 0xaceb04…c7dc | ||
| Will Melissa Agard win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.1% | $475 | $3.0K | C | 0x85c557…cbbd | ||
| Will Tom Nelson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.1% | $2 | $1.9K | C | 0xd07d74…ff11 | ||
| Will Candidate A win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6a21de…d785 | ||
| Will Candidate C win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x01cd24…113a | ||
| Will Candidate E win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3cbd23…a683 | ||
| Will Candidate G win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5353c4…77ba | ||
| Will Candidate I win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd55401…cd5d | ||
| Will Candidate B win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xeba6ae…ba15 | ||
| Will Candidate D win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xfe1035…7dfb | ||
| Will Candidate F win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x659172…9784 | ||
| Will Candidate H win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4aeaa8…0b0b | ||
| Will Candidate J win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x190f16…cca8 | ||
| Will Candidate L win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x48c305…8cdb | ||
| Will Candidate N win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x086565…bc80 | ||
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary… | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb3d8ea…2003 | ||
| Will Candidate K win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1a15fd…4712 | ||
| Will Candidate M win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe7d20d…319a | ||
| Will Candidate O win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x36ed06…3d3f |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CDL1PJHC16",
"slug": "wisconsin-governor-democratic-primary-winner",
"question": "Will a Democrat win the Wisconsin Governor primary by the 2026 election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"2026",
"wisconsin",
"democratic-primary",
"gubernatorial"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 29,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 72553,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 59,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}