CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by 2026? [ resolves 2025-12 – 2026-12 ]

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 6 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
November 30 2025-12-01 100.0%
$7.8K
C 0xc8605b…3a00
December 31 2026-01-01 100.0%
$270K
C 0xb03860…8bab
January 31 2026-02-01 0.6%
$91K
C 0x483031…6e3b
March 31 2026-04-01 0.2%
$388K
C 0x27eddf…e51a
August 31 2026-08-31 4.3%
$83 $48K
C 0x47c20d…07e0
December 31 2026-12-31 18.0%
$2.3K $89K
C 0x74778c…0054
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 6 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin talk by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. Events that occurred prior to the start of this market will not qualify toward its resolution. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
sources (1)
  • consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-november-30-821/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-november-30-821
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-november-30-821")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CV6T08PD65",
  "slug": "will-zelenskyy-talk-to-putin-by-november-30-821",
  "question": "Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "tags": [
    "geopolitics",
    "ukraine-russia",
    "diplomacy",
    "political-negotiation",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 6,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 894128,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 29,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "adversarial_ground_truth",
    "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "source_status": "no_committed_source",
  "source_of_record": null,
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "consensus of credible reporting",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →