CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

I need the complete question including the date to rewrite it. Could you provide the full prediction market question with the deadline date? [ resolves 2026-06 – 2026-12 ]

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30 2026-06-30 1.0%
$28 $277K
C 0x0629c2…e89c
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31 2026-06-30 0.1%
$2.21M
C 0xa19724…e366
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026 2026-12-31 6.0%
$11 $53K
C 0x46a624…63bb
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 3 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-tim-walz-resign-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-tim-walz-resign-by.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("will-tim-walz-resign-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DRN8JHZ7H6",
  "slug": "will-tim-walz-resign-by",
  "question": "I need the complete question including the date to rewrite it. Could you provide the full prediction market question with the deadline date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-politics",
    "resignations",
    "2026",
    "tim-walz",
    "minnesota-governor"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 2542605,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 48,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →