Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $500,000,000 | 2027-01-01 | 53.0% | — | $18K | B | 0xe390b8…a050 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (3) · single authority
- fees.pump.fun source of record venue-listed
- https://fees.pump.fun/ from rules text · editorial
- Total $PUMP Purchases (USD) from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-pumpfun-buybacks-hit-500m-by-december-31/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-pumpfun-buybacks-hit-500m-by-december-31 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-pumpfun-buybacks-hit-500m-by-december-31") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5BB3R94BD6",
"slug": "will-pumpfun-buybacks-hit-500m-by-december-31",
"question": "Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"pump-fun",
"buybacks",
"financial-milestone",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 17622,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 62,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://fees.pump.fun/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "fees.pump.fun",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "fees.pump.fun",
"url": "https://fees.pump.fun/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://fees.pump.fun/",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}