Micron Q3 DRAM revenue, June 24, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-24 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 5 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $25 | 2026-06-24 | 100.0% | $227 | $7.0K | A | 0x45acb5…cb7a | ||
| ≥ $26 | 2026-06-24 | 100.0% | $47 | $8.4K | A | 0x092f6f…58ed | ||
| ≥ $27.5 | 2026-06-24 | 100.0% | $6 | $2.7K | A | 0x5ab57b…ee08 | ||
| ≥ $29 | 2026-06-24 | 100.0% | $139 | $5.3K | A | 0x197b02…8b9f | ||
| ≥ $30 | 2026-06-24 | 100.0% | — | $3.7K | A | 0x679c48…2bd6 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's DRAM revenue for the third fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (5) · single authority
- Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation source of record from rules text · editorial
- press releases from rules text · editorial
- investor presentations from rules text · editorial
- regulatory filings from rules text · editorial
- recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B? | polymarket | 2026-06-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B? | polymarket | 2026-06-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B? | polymarket | 2026-06-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $27.5B? | polymarket | 2026-06-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B? | polymarket | 2026-06-24 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-micron-q3-dram-revenue-be-above/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-micron-q3-dram-revenue-be-above |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-micron-q3-dram-revenue-be-above") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-YTFQNQ61K5",
"slug": "will-micron-q3-dram-revenue-be-above",
"question": "Micron Q3 DRAM revenue, June 24, 2026",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"micron-technology",
"dram-revenue",
"q3-2026",
"semiconductor-earnings",
"finance"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 27005,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "press releases",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "investor presentations",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "regulatory filings",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}