Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by 2026? [ resolves 2026-07 – 2027-01 ]
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, | 2026-07-01 | 1.2% | — | $11K | A | 0x11de17…ed5a | ||
| July 31, | 2026-08-01 | 0.0% | $3.4K | $14K | A | 0x0fa7b9…618e | ||
| August 31, | 2026-09-01 | 2.4% | $1.9K | $9.8K | A | 0x784aad…9082 | ||
| September 30, | 2026-10-01 | 13.0% | $1.5K | $4.3K | A | 0xd5fb8a…18bb | ||
| October 31, | 2026-11-01 | 11.0% | $198 | $1.4K | A | 0x2f71e3…1099 | ||
| November 30, | 2026-12-01 | 12.0% | $533 | $2.9K | A | 0xf93d68…0315 | ||
| December 31, | 2027-01-01 | 14.0% | $331 | $9.3K | A | 0xf52464…f51a |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if https://x.com/elonmusk posts the listed term by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: H@perl1quid, for "Hyperliquid") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: Hyperliquidd or Hyperliqid, for "Hyperliquid"), will not count toward a "Yes" resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the listed term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
Posts published from https://x.com/elonmusk during a period in which the account is verifiably compromised or hacked, as confirmed by Elon Musk or X, do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: https://x.com/elonmusk
Please note, only the https://x.com/elonmusk verified X account counts for this market. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://x.com/elonmusk sources (3) · single authority
- x.com source of record venue-listed
- https://x.com/elonmusk from rules text · editorial
- Elon Musk's verified X account: https://x.com/elonmusk from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-01 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-elon-musk-tweet-about-hyperliquid-by/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-elon-musk-tweet-about-hyperliquid-by |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-elon-musk-tweet-about-hyperliquid-by") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-5SRVV5L3N0",
"slug": "will-elon-musk-tweet-about-hyperliquid-by",
"question": "Will Elon Musk tweet \"Hyperliquid\" by 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"elon-musk",
"social-media",
"hyperliquid",
"2026",
"twitter-sentiment"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 52228,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "x.com",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "x.com",
"url": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "Elon Musk's verified X account: https://x.com/elonmusk",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}