Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (161D) ]
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 12.0% | — | $38K | C | 0x0915a4…6012 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics sources (2) · single authority
- brics.br source of record venue-listed
- https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/will-brics-add-a-new-member-in-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/will-brics-add-a-new-member-in-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("will-brics-add-a-new-member-in-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GJX4RZ4FK9",
"slug": "will-brics-add-a-new-member-in-2026",
"question": "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"geopolitics",
"international-relations",
"brics",
"2026",
"membership-expansion",
"emerging-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 37944,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "brics.br",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "brics.br",
"url": "https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}