Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? [ resolves — ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 28 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janeese Lewis George | — | 100.0% | $693 | $12K | C | 0x2f7fa0…3a84 | ||
| Kenyan McDuffie | — | 0.0% | $99 | $32K | C | 0x7a5ce7…ce81 | ||
| Brianne K. Nadeau | — | 0.0% | — | $4.4K | C | 0xb82b77…5e35 | ||
| Karl Racine | — | 0.0% | — | $3.4K | C | 0xe43d51…b445 | ||
| Zachary Parker | — | 0.0% | $4 | $2.8K | C | 0xa9331a…0fc6 | ||
| Brooke Pinto | — | 0.0% | — | $18K | C | 0xd3635a…473e | ||
| Candidate A | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2f7a19…b272 | ||
| Candidate C | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xaef928…d883 | ||
| Candidate E | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6a780d…2b13 | ||
| Candidate G | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x659b3c…5664 | ||
| Candidate I | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x93e0a3…c821 | ||
| Candidate K | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa54bf1…2499 | ||
| Candidate M | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xaa2ca9…6e8d | ||
| Candidate O | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa7db19…cbda | ||
| Muriel Bowser | — | 0.0% | — | $3.0K | C | 0xb57ee7…8f20 | ||
| Robert White Jr. | — | 0.0% | — | $6.2K | C | 0x6dc6ae…5b23 | ||
| Gary Goodweather | — | 0.0% | $3 | $20K | C | 0xbda438…ad14 | ||
| Christina Henderson | — | 0.0% | — | $36K | C | 0xa5a3ad…7544 | ||
| Phil Mendelson | — | 0.0% | — | $4.0K | C | 0xaf4690…2742 | ||
| Brian Schwalb | — | 0.0% | — | $3.2K | C | 0x83ae11…6992 | ||
| Candidate B | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa1aa8b…e760 | ||
| Candidate D | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x961747…9484 | ||
| Candidate F | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xafdf4e…a019 | ||
| Candidate H | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7b0b68…a842 | ||
| Candidate J | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc96422…a2e5 | ||
| Candidate L | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x1f51be…ddeb | ||
| Candidate N | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x782899…1fe7 | ||
| Another candidate | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x211b6f…3468 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.
If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (1)
- D.C. Democratic Party from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Zachary Parker win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Brooke Pinto win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Robert White Jr. win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Christina Henderson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Brianne K. Nadeau win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| YES | Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 100% |
| NO | Will Phil Mendelson win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Karl Racine win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Muriel Bowser win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
| NO | Will Brian Schwalb win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | polymarket | 2026-06-18 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (12 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-win-the-2026-democratic-dc-mayoral-primary/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-win-the-2026-democratic-dc-mayoral-primary |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-win-the-2026-democratic-dc-mayoral-primary") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-BYQPD16TQ8",
"slug": "who-will-win-the-2026-democratic-dc-mayoral-primary",
"question": "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"local-government",
"washington-dc",
"2026",
"primary-election"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 28,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 143398,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "D.C. Democratic Party",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}