Will Trump publicly praise someone in August? [ resolved 2026-08-31 ]
Will Trump praise Byron Donalds in August?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds | 2026-08-04 | 99.9% | $810 | $835 | C | 0x9502da…1562 | ||
| Zohran Mamdani | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | — | $177 | C | 0x0e6e94…8486 | ||
| Elon Musk | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $144 | $162 | C | 0x860e84…f05b | ||
| Dana White | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $152 | $733 | C | 0x23b70a…b038 | ||
| Gianni Infantino | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $190 | $281 | C | 0x556e7b…e330 | ||
| Delcy Rodriguez | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $149 | $167 | C | 0xaa5331…9da9 | ||
| Bryson DeChambeau | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $49 | $905 | C | 0x7fac10…0750 | ||
| Xi Jinping | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $3.2K | $3.2K | C | 0xa27269…cd75 | ||
| Roger Penske | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $1.7K | $1.8K | C | 0x770126…3944 | ||
| Kevin Warsh | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $710 | $1.2K | C | 0xc46ea7…5c8c | ||
| Javier Milei | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $220 | $604 | C | 0x7fce8b…9206 | ||
| Andy Burnham | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $90 | $940 | C | 0x29f747…be17 | ||
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $5 | $320 | C | 0x30d302…de3c | ||
| Emmanuel Macron | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $40 | C | 0x24f2f5…32c3 | ||
| Mark Rutte | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $2.1K | $2.8K | C | 0xa9da84…ec71 | ||
| Jon Rahm | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $591 | C | 0x41ad16…3c5a | ||
| Nicki Minaj | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $80 | $663 | C | 0xdafaf4…6946 | ||
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $84 | $862 | C | 0xeb0548…5fed | ||
| Claudia Sheinbaum | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $69 | $156 | C | 0x022d9f…86d2 | ||
| Warren Buffett | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $458 | $1.1K | C | 0x08a59c…2e2a | ||
| Doug Ford | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $652 | C | 0xce28d4…bd60 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (1)
public statements from Donald Trump from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Trump praise Mark Rutte in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-13 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Javier Milei in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-07 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump praise Claudia Sheinbaum in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-06 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-04 | 100% |
| NO | Will Trump praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump praise Jon Rahm in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump praise Emmanuel Macron in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump praise Nicki Minaj in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump praise Doug Ford in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-30 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-29 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Roger Penske in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-24 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-16 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Andy Burnham in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-14 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-11 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Kevin Warsh in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Elon Musk in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-06 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump praise Dana White in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-06 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (20 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MMBPJJ36Y9",
"slug": "who-will-trump-publicly-praise-in-august-20260728221212339",
"question": "Will Trump publicly praise someone in August?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"politics",
"public-statements",
"august-2026",
"praise-prediction",
"political-figures"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 18093,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "public statements from Donald Trump",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}