Will Trump announce a Secretary of Labor by a specific date? [ resolves — ]
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 35 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor… | — | 38.0% | — | $21K | C | 0x93b0c6…6199 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Jonathan Berry as the next United States Labor… | — | 14.7% | — | $1.3K | C | 0x08f809…788f | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Andrew Puzder as the next United States Labor… | — | 12.5% | — | $12K | C | 0x08b25c…1b94 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce no one as the next United States Labor Secretary in… | — | 7.6% | — | $933 | C | 0x8e31fc…ac7d | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Glenn Youngkin as the next United States Labor… | — | 7.0% | — | $447 | C | 0xa1612e…12eb | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Brandon Williams as the next United States Labor… | — | 4.0% | — | $3.4K | C | 0x00fa0d…0152 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Vince Micone as the next United States Labor… | — | 1.3% | — | $217 | C | 0x2d5e51…7dba | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Johnny C. Taylor Jr. as the next United States Labor… | — | 1.2% | — | $1.4K | C | 0xdb356e…f787 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Sean O'Brien as the next United States Labor… | — | 1.2% | — | $353 | C | 0x82a77b…c5e8 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Bryan Slater as the next United States Labor… | — | 0.5% | — | $2.9K | C | 0x083142…3035 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Patrick Pizzella as the next United States Labor… | — | 0.3% | — | $1.3K | C | 0x56f525…eb9b | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person H as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb92e71…58da | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person L as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd7a560…9e61 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person P as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x402767…a57b | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person R as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xdaa520…eb0a | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person T as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe2f202…ff20 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce another individual as the next United States Labor… | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3a5f1b…b2e0 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person I as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x935159…936b | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person M as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x34c2fe…d422 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person N as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x620c76…a295 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person Q as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0b9c6f…ddb6 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person S as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x00413c…ebe2 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person E as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x31805c…152d | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person G as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4624d6…29eb | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person O as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x874173…befe | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person V as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x032ea8…f43a | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person X as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xbe508a…74f0 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person D as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x34868c…6ce6 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person F as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6fe9f0…3a5d | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person J as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb6d13b…9384 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person K as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x56ac11…c993 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person U as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9ef287…ae95 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person W as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd65f78…f25e | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person Y as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5513a2…e762 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce Person Z as the next United States Labor Secretary | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0edd1d…5061 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor.
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor.
Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-secretary-of-labor/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-trump-announce-as-next-secretary-of-labor.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-trump-announce-as-next-secretary-of-labor") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WC8FGKRGG1",
"slug": "who-will-trump-announce-as-next-secretary-of-labor",
"question": "Will Trump announce a Secretary of Labor by a specific date?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump",
"cabinet-appointments",
"labor-secretary",
"us-government",
"personnel-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 35,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 45245,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 40,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}