Will Warner Bros. be acquired and closed by a specific date? [ resolves — ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 84.0% | $20 | $467K | C | 0xa71785…f2f0 | ||
| ≥ 1,719,792,000 | — | 10.0% | $215 | $178K | C | 0x3347f5…5b26 | ||
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.3% | — | $239K | C | 0x7ed08b…e37c | ||
| Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.1% | $16 | $225K | C | 0x6e23cb…1c54 | ||
| Will Company A close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xe7cb7b…4913 | ||
| Will Company C close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x272343…96b7 | ||
| Will Company E close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x8234e6…1436 | ||
| Will Company G close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x82e91c…853a | ||
| Will Company I close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0cb723…359d | ||
| Will Company B close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa94c07…319e | ||
| Will Company D close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x966ba8…9460 | ||
| Will Company F close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xc2c8a5…6775 | ||
| Will Company H close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcc570f…e8f7 | ||
| Will Company J close Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x34efde…de32 | ||
| Any other company closes Warner Bros acquisition | — | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x81611a…6933 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.
Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.
If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".
Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CP17BTS9G2",
"slug": "who-will-close-warner-bros-acquisition",
"question": "Will Warner Bros. be acquired and closed by a specific date?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"tech-m-and-a",
"warner-bros",
"corporate-acquisition",
"technology",
"media-consolidation"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1109547,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 38,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}