Who will Bernie Sanders endorse? [ resolves 2025-11 – 2026-11 ]
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Fateh in Minneapolis Mayor for Nov 3 | 2025-11-05 | 100.0% | — | $4.2K | C | 0xb87eb5…cebf | ||
| James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 | 2026-11-03 | 67.0% | $11 | $75K | C | 0x136a27…3f23 | ||
| Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 | 2026-11-03 | 40.5% | — | $28K | C | 0x472a52…6734 | ||
| Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 | 2026-11-03 | 27.9% | $13 | $17K | C | 0xb44fe1…9185 | ||
| Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 | 2026-11-03 | 2.9% | $34 | $25K | C | 0xb8940f…76b0 | ||
| Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 | 2026-11-30 | 2.0% | — | $13K | C | 0xb98ae7…143b | ||
| Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 | 2026-11-30 | 1.1% | — | $16K | C | 0x1428eb…c14b |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.
If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives from rules text · editorial
- a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-bernie-endorse/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-bernie-endorse |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-bernie-endorse") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-FZD91DJ7L8",
"slug": "who-will-bernie-endorse",
"question": "Who will Bernie Sanders endorse?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"endorsements",
"2026",
"us-elections",
"bernie-sanders"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 177129,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}