Will someone announce a Presidential run before 2027? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 72 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 41.0% | — | $1.5K | C | 0x888f97…0e93 | ||
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 23.0% | — | $12K | C | 0x89ff74…a7a1 | ||
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 22.0% | $2.2K | $26K | C | 0x36114d…5873 | ||
| Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 19.0% | — | $1.6K | C | 0x30094b…ad3f | ||
| Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 19.0% | — | $2.4K | C | 0x1d4c55…be8b | ||
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 18.0% | — | $14K | C | 0x71dcc7…97bc | ||
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 17.0% | — | $6.0K | C | 0x0cdc3b…38f4 | ||
| Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 16.5% | — | $3.4K | C | 0xb699ad…0e99 | ||
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | $152 | $34K | C | 0x59a624…a803 | ||
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | $6 | $4.6K | C | 0x5006bf…5c95 | ||
| Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 15.0% | — | $4.8K | C | 0xa27ff8…d3ad | ||
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 15.0% | $133 | $11K | C | 0x2387ae…79dd | ||
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 14.0% | $25 | $6.3K | C | 0xbfff23…b3f6 | ||
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 14.0% | — | $8.1K | C | 0xd9a9a7…c565 | ||
| Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 13.7% | — | $4.6K | C | 0x7c6a08…8865 | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 13.0% | $123 | $52K | C | 0x809eaa…7b5c | ||
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 12.2% | $103 | $35K | C | 0xe147f7…60ba | ||
| Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 12.0% | $173 | $12K | C | 0x60cb90…78a5 | ||
| Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 11.3% | — | $5.9K | C | 0x3ea2f7…64cd | ||
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 11.0% | — | $4.7K | C | 0x6d7bc6…9cbc | ||
| Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 11.0% | — | $2.2K | C | 0x190b49…f115 | ||
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | — | $15K | C | 0x78305c…db8f | ||
| Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | — | $1.9K | C | 0xb1d3e0…8ec3 | ||
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | $11 | $4.5K | C | 0xe5f107…5fac | ||
| Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | $755 | $2.4K | C | 0xdacc70…9e34 | ||
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | — | $6.4K | C | 0xdbaef0…4f5f | ||
| Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | — | $5.6K | C | 0xfc2228…c23a | ||
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.6% | — | $8.9K | C | 0x50b12c…b02c | ||
| Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.5% | — | $20K | C | 0x2651d3…3530 | ||
| Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.5% | $11 | $629 | C | 0x2aef67…abfc | ||
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | $41 | $1.4K | C | 0x8e7c4e…a7b7 | ||
| Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $11K | C | 0xa09707…0fee | ||
| Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $17K | C | 0x4b5722…ac64 | ||
| Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $6.2K | C | 0x3ec944…39fa | ||
| Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | $3 | $2.5K | C | 0xa0d689…0b77 | ||
| Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $9.1K | C | 0x6217f9…ef8b | ||
| Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $3.9K | C | 0x4e5d47…79fb | ||
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $3.2K | C | 0xf73413…333a | ||
| Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $771 | C | 0x3e6115…64a7 | ||
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | $679 | $7.0K | C | 0xb613a1…4efb | ||
| Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | $351 | $6.4K | C | 0xb8f08e…b733 | ||
| Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 8.1% | $242 | $3.7K | C | 0x579e14…392f | ||
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | — | $20K | C | 0x53141d…91f3 | ||
| Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | — | $4.1K | C | 0x754838…cd47 | ||
| Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | — | $4.0K | C | 0xa4c8a7…77f9 | ||
| Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | — | $14K | C | 0xe88fde…abc8 | ||
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 7.0% | — | $5.4K | C | 0xf618b0…877a | ||
| Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 7.0% | — | $2.8K | C | 0xab2678…657b | ||
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 6.6% | $92 | $22K | C | 0xba4fd9…cd85 | ||
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 6.4% | $114 | $29K | C | 0x3a4346…0fdb | ||
| Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | $100 | $3.5K | C | 0x8dc4ec…6871 | ||
| Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | — | $5.9K | C | 0xe33dc2…fd2e | ||
| Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | $250 | $2.6K | C | 0x6c08d3…e5b1 | ||
| Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | — | $17 | C | 0x0c7e70…e676 | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 5.8% | — | $9.2K | C | 0xf4e255…3d0f | ||
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 4.5% | — | $12K | C | 0x5289dd…9386 | ||
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 4.4% | $90 | $34K | C | 0x5c0140…319f | ||
| Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 4.2% | — | $7.2K | C | 0x62526f…9faa | ||
| Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 4.1% | — | $3.4K | C | 0xf010e4…d624 | ||
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 4.0% | — | $14K | C | 0xe1e8c1…458e | ||
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 4.0% | — | $3.1K | C | 0xa01945…8848 | ||
| Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 4.0% | — | $976 | C | 0x9c3836…7221 | ||
| Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 4.0% | $108 | $8.8K | C | 0xb6ca1f…a6d1 | ||
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 3.5% | — | $14K | C | 0xf7f9d3…5d2c | ||
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 3.4% | — | $9.6K | C | 0x9a65d6…3958 | ||
| Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 3.0% | — | $12K | C | 0x2aa539…46f2 | ||
| Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 2.3% | — | $2.6K | C | 0xc929dc…6c74 | ||
| Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 2.0% | — | $15K | C | 0xda431b…3128 | ||
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 1.9% | — | $26K | C | 0x152e3b…0f9c | ||
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 1.1% | — | $21K | C | 0x878030…defd | ||
| Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | $79 | C | 0x7c75f4…61b3 | ||
| Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x75389b…79ef |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-4WMQ7GM282",
"slug": "who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027",
"question": "Will someone announce a Presidential run before 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"2026-us-politics",
"presidential-announcements",
"candidate-declarations",
"political-news"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 72,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 695912,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 52,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}