Will the winner of the Alaska Governor primary advance to the general election? [ resolved 2026-08-18 ]
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 20 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Bronson | 2026-08-18 | 100.0% | $46 | $2.8K | B | 0x7fdfdf…a762 | ||
| Bernadette Wilson | 2026-08-18 | 100.0% | $26 | $16K | B | 0x39dc2c…ca83 | ||
| Tom Begich | 2026-08-18 | 100.0% | — | $13K | B | 0xe96f81…2ae8 | ||
| Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 2026-08-18 | 100.0% | $128 | $4.3K | B | 0xdfa9c2…ff24 | ||
| Lesil McGuire | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $240 | B | 0x53b57e…81c0 | ||
| Gregg Brelsford | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $171 | B | 0xd3ce92…942d | ||
| Jessica Faircloth | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $156 | B | 0xe3ca06…064d | ||
| Destry J. Payne Sr. | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $1.2K | B | 0xb8e253…b878 | ||
| Bill Walker | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $454 | B | 0xef8afe…4300 | ||
| Click Bishop | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $25 | $42K | B | 0x3342ec…2170 | ||
| Adam Crum | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $6.9K | B | 0x73ed39…fe91 | ||
| Nancy Dahlstrom | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $2 | $14K | B | 0xc42165…1127 | ||
| Edna DeVries | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $13K | B | 0xe70dc5…d762 | ||
| Matt Heilala | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $3.8K | B | 0x24853c…70fc | ||
| Shelley Hughes | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $3.2K | B | 0xc9fd5b…7e4d | ||
| Hank Kroll | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $1.9K | B | 0xd4e583…f318 | ||
| James Parkin | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | $2.6K | B | 0xd7afa8…ec6e | ||
| Treg Taylor | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $30 | $66K | B | 0x77396e…c4df | ||
| Matt Claman | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $153 | $39K | B | 0x4427ce…5f8d | ||
| Bruce Walden | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | $25 | $2.4K | B | 0x1b752e…e7ef |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (1) · stated precedence rule
State of Alaska Division of Elections committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Lesil McGuire advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will Jessica Faircloth advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Destry J. Payne Sr. advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Gregg Brelsford advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| YES | Will Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-08-29 | 100% |
| YES | Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-08-26 | 100% |
| YES | Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 100% |
| YES | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | polymarket | 2026-08-19 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (20 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-advance-from-the-alaska-governor-primary/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-advance-from-the-alaska-governor-primary |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-will-advance-from-the-alaska-governor-primary") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-T97Q44M684",
"slug": "who-will-advance-from-the-alaska-governor-primary",
"question": "Will the winner of the Alaska Governor primary advance to the general election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"alaska",
"2026",
"governor-primary",
"us-state-politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 20,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 231756,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "State of Alaska Division of Elections",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}