Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]

Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date

polymarket 7 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok	2026-12-31	100.0%	—	$565K	C	`0xa529f6…0173`
Will Walmart acquire TikTok	2026-12-31	1.8%	$134	$82K	C	`0x4dc838…3c0c`
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok	2026-12-31	1.5%	$3.7K	$89K	C	`0x626d23…3dd0`
Will AppLovin acquire TikTok	2026-12-31	1.4%	$71	$38K	C	`0x1092e1…ca26`
Will Amazon acquire TikTok	2026-12-31	1.4%	$60	$71K	C	`0xdf0ad9…278f`
Will Meta acquire TikTok	2026-12-31	0.8%	$1.3K	$134K	C	`0x3e0b13…7574`
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok	2026-12-31	0.2%	$441	$139K	C	`0x2cd20a…2eaf`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	uncommitted	not provided	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 7 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with the listed entity, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or the listed entity, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be use

platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above

recent wire items

monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-will-acquire-tiktok-559/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-will-acquire-tiktok-559.json`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("who-will-acquire-tiktok-559")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-G8JK3545S6",
  "slug": "who-will-acquire-tiktok-559",
  "question": "Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "tech-acquisition",
    "tiktok",
    "2026",
    "corporate-control",
    "cross-border-deal"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 7,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 1117454,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 44,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →