Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 99.8% | — | $128K | C | 0x57c75d…2891 | ||
| Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 5.8% | — | $6.2K | C | 0x4f781e…d5c1 | ||
| Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 3.3% | $190 | $20K | C | 0xf0d449…0c6c | ||
| Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 3.2% | $515 | $65K | C | 0xf913e9…09e4 | ||
| Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 3.1% | — | $22K | C | 0x17a4f0…f329 | ||
| Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 3.0% | $386 | $39K | C | 0xa38abe…7577 | ||
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 2.5% | $80 | $150K | C | 0x3cbeb5…7973 | ||
| Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 2.0% | $15 | $586K | C | 0x5ee101…8038 | ||
| Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 1.9% | — | $161K | C | 0xa345bf…9f02 | ||
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 1.8% | $990 | $293K | C | 0x5e4b85…360f | ||
| Will Noam Chomsky be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 1.6% | — | $28K | C | 0x43a7dd…f90a | ||
| Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 1.4% | — | $88K | C | 0x7ead92…c5a7 | ||
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 1.3% | $1.8K | $132K | C | 0xdb93bb…88d2 | ||
| Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 1.3% | — | $15K | C | 0x9e25f0…d54c | ||
| Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 1.3% | $210 | $16K | C | 0x2fe12a…386f | ||
| Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 1.0% | — | $53K | C | 0xa33a11…7b76 | ||
| Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 0.7% | $55 | $8.9K | C | 0x2ac103…dc88 | ||
| Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island | 2026-06-30 | 0.6% | — | $43K | C | 0x63a085…a2f3 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/who-visited-epsteins-island/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/who-visited-epsteins-island.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("who-visited-epsteins-island") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GB99Y1HPT3",
"slug": "who-visited-epsteins-island",
"question": "Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"epstein-island",
"politics",
"trump",
"criminal-investigation",
"2026",
"high-profile-figures"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 1855213,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 10,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"discretionary_trigger_no_source",
"adversarial_ground_truth"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}