Will any states use new congressional maps in the midterms? [ resolved 2026-11-04 ]
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 24 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 2026-11-03 | 100.0% | — | $7.2K | C | 0x964b5e…505f | ||
| North Carolina | 2026-11-03 | 100.0% | — | $12K | C | 0x295eb7…36fd | ||
| Utah | 2026-11-03 | 98.0% | — | $67K | C | 0x3e9c56…3935 | ||
| Louisiana | 2026-11-03 | 58.4% | — | $16K | C | 0xc41817…955a | ||
| Alabama | 2026-11-03 | 25.0% | $11 | $16K | C | 0xa4c7f4…2d20 | ||
| Tennessee | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 2181944 | ||
| Mississippi | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 2181945 | ||
| California | 2026-11-04 | 100.0% | $21 | $12K | C | 0xbd71ab…f762 | ||
| Ohio | 2026-11-04 | 100.0% | $244 | $6.6K | C | 0x96ca8e…72db | ||
| Florida | 2026-11-04 | 100.0% | $481 | $2.1K | C | 0x077655…e077 | ||
| Virginia | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | $30 | $7.1K | C | 0x4a4ed8…c85e | ||
| South Carolina | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | — | $27K | C | 0x04f0b7…12b0 | ||
| Maryland | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | $1.3K | $12K | C | 0x7bbeb4…1896 | ||
| Missouri | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | — | $4.0K | C | 0x083d32…885c | ||
| Kansas | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | — | $6.2K | C | 0x4abe6b…8077 | ||
| Washington | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | — | $6.1K | C | 0x14ca9a…3aa9 | ||
| Illinois | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | — | $11K | C | 0xff4699…9f73 | ||
| New York | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | $11 | $15K | C | 0xfdc5d8…5339 | ||
| New Jersey | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | — | $5.0K | C | 0xf16497…2eca | ||
| Nebraska | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | $312 | $6.9K | C | 0xe36942…c801 | ||
| Minnesota | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | $92 | $9.7K | C | 0x66a685…fc63 | ||
| Georgia | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | $546 | $7.3K | C | 0xb4f4bf…3222 | ||
| Indiana | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | $672 | $31K | C | 0x4596d8…3b78 | ||
| Wisconsin | 2026-11-04 | 0.0% | — | $19K | C | 0xdd6a68…1c60 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
official information from the listed state from rules text a consensus of credible reporting from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| YES | Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 100% |
| NO | Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| YES | Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 100% |
| NO | Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| YES | Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 100% |
| NO | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| YES | Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 100% |
| YES | Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 100% |
| NO | Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
| NO | Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | polymarket | 2026-11-04 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (19 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-P218PM4GG4",
"slug": "which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms",
"question": "Will any states use new congressional maps in the midterms?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"redistricting",
"2026-midterms",
"us-congress",
"state-legislatures"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 24,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 305910,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 37,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "official information from the listed state",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}