Which states will use new congressional maps in the 2022 midterm elections? [ resolves 2026-11-03 (153D) ]
Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 24 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States… | 2026-11-03 | 97.9% | — | $9.1K | C | 0x295eb7…36fd | ||
| Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 93.6% | — | $12K | C | 0xbd71ab…f762 | ||
| Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 93.0% | — | $6.4K | C | 0x96ca8e…72db | ||
| Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 90.0% | — | $3.9K | C | 0x083d32…885c | ||
| Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 90.0% | $196 | $15K | C | 0xa4c7f4…2d20 | ||
| Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 88.0% | — | $7.1K | C | 0x964b5e…505f | ||
| Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 85.0% | $1.0K | $66K | C | 0x3e9c56…3935 | ||
| Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 76.0% | — | $1.3K | C | 0x077655…e077 | ||
| Will Louisiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 69.0% | — | $16K | C | 0xc41817…955a | ||
| Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States… | 2026-11-03 | 12.0% | $10 | $27K | C | 0x04f0b7…12b0 | ||
| Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 11.0% | $10 | $8.1K | C | 0xfdc5d8…5339 | ||
| Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 10.0% | — | $10K | C | 0x7bbeb4…1896 | ||
| Will Washington use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 7.0% | — | $6.0K | C | 0x14ca9a…3aa9 | ||
| Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 6.0% | — | $7.1K | C | 0x4a4ed8…c85e | ||
| Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 6.0% | — | $6.2K | C | 0x4abe6b…8077 | ||
| Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 6.0% | — | $5.0K | C | 0xf16497…2eca | ||
| Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 6.0% | $57 | $29K | C | 0x4596d8…3b78 | ||
| Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 5.1% | — | $6.6K | C | 0xe36942…c801 | ||
| Will Illinois use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 4.2% | — | $11K | C | 0xff4699…9f73 | ||
| Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 4.0% | $1.2K | $6.5K | C | 0xb4f4bf…3222 | ||
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 3.1% | $1 | $18K | C | 0xdd6a68…1c60 | ||
| Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 2.0% | $216 | $9.6K | C | 0x66a685…fc63 | ||
| Will Tennessee use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 2181944 | ||
| Will Mississippi use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm… | 2026-11-03 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 2181945 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-P218PM4GG4",
"slug": "which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms",
"question": "Which states will use new congressional maps in the 2022 midterm elections?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"redistricting",
"2026-midterms",
"us-congress",
"state-legislatures"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 24,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 288086,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 34,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}