Will Donald Trump visit at least one state in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 50 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 100.0% | — | $44K | C | 0xbee96a…3a1a | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $86K | C | 0x59e545…9666 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $465 | C | 0xdf1a91…2342 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Kentucky in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | — | C | 0xc6708a…aa0d | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $2.7K | C | 0x2ff43e…f4cf | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Ohio in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | — | C | 0x4b8aa7…4c2b | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Texas in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $4.3K | C | 0x4711af…b312 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $57K | C | 0xf72aa2…1829 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Delaware in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | — | C | 0xb072a1…f292 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Georgia in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $2.8K | C | 0xf821f1…6c1f | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Maryland in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $8.6K | C | 0x48eec9…82aa | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Michigan in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $2.2K | C | 0xbd917a…db02 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $5.6K | C | 0x1ddefd…ac48 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Virginia in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $6.5K | C | 0xa3293b…6cf0 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Iowa in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.8% | — | $3.3K | C | 0x6cdd4f…752f | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Nevada in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.8% | — | $1.3K | C | 0xa3b341…7f94 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit New York in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.8% | — | $3.2K | C | 0x154a7f…a69e | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Tennessee in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.5% | — | — | C | 0xd42bf8…51c0 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.3% | $50 | $588 | C | 0xeb1b76…1ef6 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Pennsylvania in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 94.0% | — | $88 | C | 0x902e22…3b5a | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 79.7% | — | $324 | C | 0x9bedf9…39f1 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit West Virginia in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 77.0% | — | $96 | C | 0x670fa0…5f1d | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Oregon in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 65.0% | — | $20K | C | 0xaa1153…7fa1 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Arkansas in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 65.0% | — | $34 | C | 0xa72b57…5fef | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 58.0% | — | $5.0K | C | 0xa39d80…7dbb | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Kansas in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 56.0% | — | $602 | C | 0x1da6f8…2e01 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 54.0% | — | $6.1K | C | 0xb1d616…dd19 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Nebraska in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 51.0% | — | $102 | C | 0xad5b9d…c9a4 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Louisiana in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 49.0% | — | — | C | 0x19acef…5ef3 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 44.0% | — | $45 | C | 0x40e957…9932 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 42.0% | — | $4.5K | C | 0xea35fa…988d | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Maine in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 30.0% | — | $32 | C | 0x5a9adf…ca82 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Montana in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 25.0% | — | $49 | C | 0x8eb7da…47a8 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit New Mexico in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 22.0% | — | $60 | C | 0xe7350d…49cf | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 20.0% | — | $3.2K | C | 0x8100a2…3dac | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Massachusetts in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 17.0% | — | — | C | 0x2e1b5f…8d66 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | — | $2.2K | C | 0x269b16…c877 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | — | $534 | C | 0xbbfe39…68af | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | $230 | C | 0xa4b15d…ca4e | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Illinois in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | $2.9K | C | 0xbcf57b…99ca | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Missouri in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | C | 0xf6eb29…5cf4 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | $11K | C | 0x617036…50b2 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Rhode Island in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | $57 | C | 0x242a95…b23d | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | C | 0x9748c3…a8e9 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Colorado in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | $34 | C | 0x842c58…02d0 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Idaho in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | $3.2K | C | 0x5827c5…0269 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Indiana in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | C | 0x3bae73…cd44 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | $31 | C | 0xa4330e…28d6 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Oklahoma in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | C | 0x64826c…84ad | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Utah in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | — | — | — | C | 0xb8286c…8d43 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://twitter.com/POTUS recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-WLS23WRDG0",
"slug": "which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",
"question": "Will Donald Trump visit at least one state in 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump",
"us-travel",
"2026",
"campaign-activity",
"state-visits"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 50,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 288405,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 50,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://twitter.com/POTUS",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}