Will Donald Trump visit countries outside the United States in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 24 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $54K | C | 0x52e378…d133 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 99.9% | — | $122K | C | 0x96df15…9ae0 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 96.1% | $11 | $18K | C | 0x7fc755…528b | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 87.0% | $110 | $23K | C | 0xebb9a8…1f30 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 73.0% | $25 | $7.1K | C | 0x8782d8…2704 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 51.0% | $1.1K | $13K | C | 0x77abd7…e524 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 40.0% | — | $301 | C | 0xa8da04…2a70 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 38.0% | $183 | $30K | C | 0xec25ff…64ab | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 37.0% | $45 | $4.7K | C | 0x3ebd55…cf58 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 35.0% | $10 | $13K | C | 0xbff26f…8df0 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 33.0% | $15 | $3.8K | C | 0xf62792…3b36 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 32.0% | $39 | $25K | C | 0x572971…ee0b | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 29.0% | $26 | $3.6K | C | 0xc1c987…b72c | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 27.0% | $849 | $2.5K | C | 0x3d7540…3221 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 24.0% | — | $3.6K | C | 0x4f95cd…3efa | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 23.0% | — | $6.7K | C | 0x64de38…0615 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 18.0% | — | $6.9K | C | 0x40c2dd…73d1 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 16.0% | $1 | $5.6K | C | 0x89522d…bd43 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 15.0% | — | $655 | C | 0x5667b4…7e9b | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 10.7% | $2.0K | $24K | C | 0xd81282…f1ce | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 10.0% | $27 | $1.9K | C | 0x5bbdda…959b | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 9.0% | — | $3.0K | C | 0x7a1f90…d9b5 | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 8.0% | $151 | $10K | C | 0x035b7c…3c6e | ||
| Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026 | 2026-12-31 | 3.0% | $395 | $83K | C | 0x4eea50…1214 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://twitter.com/POTUS recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-V0BCKV3553",
"slug": "which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026",
"question": "Will Donald Trump visit countries outside the United States in 2026?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"geopolitics",
"2026",
"international-travel",
"presidential-visits",
"politics"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 24,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 465673,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 50,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://twitter.com/POTUS",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}