Will Waymo launch in multiple new cities in 2026? (multi-deadline series) [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 9 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | — | $49K | B | 0x6d74d9…922b | ||
| Nashville | 2026-06-30 | 100.0% | $10 | $41K | B | 0x8a2017…74f7 | ||
| New York City | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $47 | $16K | B | 0xc3ff54…53bd | ||
| Dallas | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $24 | $34K | B | 0xac7a4b…c67b | ||
| Detroit | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $18K | B | 0x8d29d3…862b | ||
| Washington DC | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $13K | B | 0xd94894…bebd | ||
| Denver | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $11K | B | 0x345139…88be | ||
| Las Vegas | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | $60K | B | 0x43cbb4…2739 | ||
| London | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | $30 | $8.1K | B | 0x6338f8…c2bc |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://waymo.com/rides/c sources (3) · stated precedence rule
- waymo.com venue-listed
- official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c) from rules text · editorial
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-07-01 | 0% |
| YES | Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-06-25 | 100% |
| YES | Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? | polymarket | 2026-04-16 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (9 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Y8VHMGS757",
"slug": "which-cities-will-waymo-launch-in-by-june-30",
"question": "Will Waymo launch in multiple new cities in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"waymo",
"autonomous-vehicles",
"tech",
"geographic-expansion",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 9,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 250022,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 76,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://waymo.com/rides/c",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "official information from Waymo",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "waymo.com",
"url": "https://waymo.com/rides/c",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}