Will Trump and Putin meet in person in 2026? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (211D) ]
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 15 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet | 2026-12-31 | 57.0% | $390 | $3.0K | C | 0xa745ef…6219 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China | 2026-12-31 | 18.0% | $311 | $3.8K | C | 0xa2739b…e618 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country | 2026-12-31 | 6.6% | $608 | $1.9K | C | 0xdd1bea…fb18 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | $343 | $1.8K | C | 0x46a8b5…3ee1 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States | 2026-12-31 | 6.0% | $230 | $1.1K | C | 0x51edea…e874 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country | 2026-12-31 | 4.0% | $235 | $1.2K | C | 0x2f736e…c3d3 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus | 2026-12-31 | 2.3% | $391 | $1.3K | C | 0xc5c07c…84c0 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey | 2026-12-31 | 2.0% | $255 | $1.3K | C | 0x523609…1866 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland | 2026-12-31 | 1.5% | $230 | $1.6K | C | 0x6ba95b…6afc | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country | 2026-12-31 | 0.6% | $230 | $1.3K | C | 0x581a83…cdc3 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | $244 | $1.1K | C | 0xc636c7…56c8 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | $233 | $1.1K | C | 0x3a5b56…dac7 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | $195 | $1.2K | C | 0x11d615…3858 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | $281 | $1.2K | C | 0x3c4d72…9758 | ||
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan | 2026-12-31 | 0.3% | $225 | $1.1K | C | 0x27e6d3…aae1 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-MY6PV3M0R6",
"slug": "where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678",
"question": "Will Trump and Putin meet in person in 2026?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"geopolitics",
"us-russia-relations",
"trump",
"putin",
"diplomatic-meeting",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 15,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 23964,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 38,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}