Will Lighter's price reach a specific target in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ $1 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | — | B | 0x29957f…5882 | ||
| ≤ $1.5 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $169K | B | 0x030cf6…0210 | ||
| ≤ $2 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $128K | B | 0x63e4e1…9588 | ||
| ≥ $3 | 2027-01-01 | 31.0% | $2.0K | $42K | B | 0x6cc647…1679 | ||
| ≥ $4 | 2027-01-01 | 22.0% | $3.1K | $110K | B | 0x554c41…e40c | ||
| ≥ $6 | 2027-01-01 | 8.0% | $23 | $44K | B | 0xd42bc0…c461 | ||
| ≥ $8 | 2027-01-01 | 4.1% | — | $81K | B | 0xf120ef…8b29 | ||
| ≥ $10 | 2027-01-01 | 5.6% | — | $94K | B | 0x3392d4…5855 |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | app.lighter.xyz | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
polymarket.description → https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CZXZ5J51F9",
"slug": "what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027",
"question": "Will Lighter's price reach a specific target in 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto-prices",
"crypto",
"lighter-token",
"price-prediction",
"2027"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 669610,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "app.lighter.xyz",
"resolution_source_url": "https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}