What price will Ethereum reach by 2026? [ resolves 2026-01 – 2027-01 ]

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›

distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot

polymarket 27 markets

market	resolves	P(YES)	vol (24h)	vol (cum)	RCG	venue id
≤ $2,500	2026-01-31	99.9%	—	$372K	A	`0x873592…c851`
≤ $2,000	2026-02-05	99.9%	—	$183K	A	`0x5a183c…649a`
≥ $1,750	2026-06-15	99.9%	—	$257	A	`0xe12dfb…add3`
≥ $1,750	2026-07-03	99.0%	—	$3.2K	A	`0x46e89b…c3d4`
≤ $500	2027-01-01	1.9%	$10	$95K	A	`0x7f1bdc…77b7`
≤ $600	2027-01-01	2.0%	—	$243	A	`0x72353e…68d2`
≤ $700	2027-01-01	4.2%	—	$6.7K	A	`0x9edfa7…4f67`
≤ $1,250	2027-01-01	7.0%	$3.2K	$378K	A	`0x766996…229d`
≤ $1,500	2027-01-01	49.0%	$9.4K	$1.99M	A	`0xcf25cc…9780`
≥ $2,000	2027-01-01	85.0%	$44	$29K	A	`0x0d4126…fb6a`
≥ $2,250	2027-01-01	57.0%	$9	$12K	A	`0xc7daed…c458`
≥ $2,500	2027-01-01	100.0%	$319	$25K	A	`0xc68ab4…aa72`
≥ $2,750	2027-01-01	63.0%	$350	$6.7K	A	`0x4f7001…f959`
≥ $3,000	2027-01-01	45.0%	$1.6K	$20K	A	`0xaf8816…357d`
≥ $3,500	2027-01-01	11.0%	$1.5K	$527K	A	`0x42945e…9dfc`
Dip to $1,000	2027-01-01	11.0%	$11K	$1.44M	A	`0xacb333…e369`
≥ $4,000	2027-01-01	7.0%	$1.9K	$291K	A	`0x9775cd…621c`
Dip to $800	2027-01-01	7.0%	$52	$1.17M	A	`0x717672…1612`
≥ $4,500	2027-01-01	6.0%	$86	$290K	A	`0xa3143f…7e21`
≥ $5,000	2027-01-01	3.9%	$948	$432K	A	`0x1c4fd6…0a13`
≥ $5,500	2027-01-01	4.1%	$52	$231K	A	`0xb75b8c…aac8`
≥ $6,000	2027-01-01	2.6%	$212	$310K	A	`0x6132cc…918a`
≥ $6,500	2027-01-01	2.7%	$154	$206K	A	`0x0f0499…3a80`
≥ $7,000	2027-01-01	2.5%	—	$159K	A	`0x4ee2c6…4de0`
≥ $7,500	2027-01-01	2.4%	$1.5K	$199K	A	`0x4fc872…aaa1`
≥ $8,000	2027-01-01	2.0%	$101	$264K	A	`0xac0b43…33c8`
≥ $10,000	2027-01-01	1.7%	$62	$714K	A	`0x201f51…a441`

resolution architecture

venue	proposer	source	citation	arbitration	class	analyst notes
polymarket	`Whitelisted Proposers`	not provided	link	`Optimistic Oracle (UMA)`	`Other`	—

verbatim rules

polymarket 27 markets · share this text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

platform source field polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

sources (3) · single authority

binance.com committed source Binance from rules text https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT from rules text

resolution history

outcome	market	venue	resolved	final price
YES	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?	polymarket	`2026-08-21`	`100%`

Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.

recent wire items

2026-09-11T12:33:13+00:00 volume-spike
Traders back ETH hitting $2,750 by year-end 70% · $25K 24h
- Polymarket prices Ethereum reaching $2,750 by December 31, 2026 at 70%, the market leans it gets done.
- 29% of all-time volume cleared in 24h, showing renewed conviction rather than speculative noise.
- Fresh buying at 70% suggests traders see current ETH levels as comfortably below target with a credible path, macro or on-chain catalysts likely driving re-engagement.
- Contract resolves on ETH spot price on or before December 31, 2026.
2026-08-20T08:33:38+00:00 volume-spike
Heavy trading tests the ETH $3,000 year-end level 37% · $16K 24h
- Polymarket prices 37%, market assigns less than 2-in-5 odds to ETH clearing $3,000 by year-end.
- 24h volume $16K is 35% of all-time, a notable single-session share for an out-of-the-money target.
- Activity here alongside spikes at $2,500 and $2,750 points to coordinated ETH ladder positioning.
- Resolves December 31, 2026; probability gap versus $2,750 (55%) implies market sees $3K as a stretch.
2026-08-20T08:33:38+00:00 volume-spike
Buyers back Ethereum reaching $2,500 before year-end 74% · $26K 24h
- Polymarket prices 74%, market assigns strong probability ETH clears $2,500 by December 31.
- 24h volume $26K is 49% of all-time, nearly doubling the contract's prior cumulative base overnight.
- High odds combined with fresh volume suggest traders are aligning on a bullish ETH recovery thesis.
- Resolves December 31, 2026; current ETH spot trajectory is the primary driver to watch.
2026-07-21T10:22:52+00:00 volume-spike
Traders stack tail-risk odds on ETH fading to $1,250 26% · $189K 24h
- 26% prices a meaningful but minority probability that Ethereum revisits $1,250 by year-end.
- Polymarket sees $189K in 24h, 54% of the contract's all-time volume in a single session.
- Fresh inflow at 26% suggests macro or crypto-specific stress concerns are prompting hedging activity.
- Resolves December 31, 2026 on Ethereum spot price.
2026-07-20T10:47:50+00:00 volume-spike
Heavy flows test Ethereum's $1,250 downside by year-end 24% · $58K 24h
- Polymarket prices a 24% chance ETH touches $1,250, implying meaningful tail-risk of near-halving from current levels.
- 24h volume of $58K represents 37% of all-time contract volume, a concentrated single-session capital deployment.
- Mid-summer positioning suggests desks are hedging or pressing a bearish macro/crypto thesis into H2 2026.
- Contract resolves Dec 31, 2026, five months of runway keeps the probability live through rate, regulatory, and risk-off catalysts.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTML	browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD `@type: Dataset`)	`https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027/`
JSON	REST API for developers	`https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027`
MCP	agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)	`clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027")`
AGENT	AI crawler discovery index	`/llms.txt`

 Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
  raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
 {
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DSZVH8N0R8",
  "slug": "what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027",
  "question": "What price will Ethereum reach by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "ethereum",
    "crypto-prices",
    "crypto",
    "price-prediction",
    "2027",
    "eth-usd"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 27,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 9350071,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
  "rcg_score": 91,
  "rcg_caps": [],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "binance.com",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "binance.com",
      "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Binance",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    {
      "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}

snapshot 2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →