Will Ethereum reach a specific price in 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (212D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 16 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ $800 | 2027-01-01 | 18.0% | $2.0K | $653K | A | 0x717672…1612 | ||
| ≤ $1,000 | 2027-01-01 | 26.0% | $50K | $772K | A | 0xacb333…e369 | ||
| ≤ $1,500 | 2027-01-01 | 68.0% | $3.7K | $1.08M | A | 0xcf25cc…9780 | ||
| ≤ $2,000 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $183K | A | 0x5a183c…649a | ||
| ≤ $2,500 | 2027-01-01 | 99.9% | — | $372K | A | 0x873592…c851 | ||
| ≥ $3,500 | 2027-01-01 | 19.0% | $11K | $350K | A | 0x42945e…9dfc | ||
| ≥ $4,000 | 2027-01-01 | 16.0% | $4.1K | $186K | A | 0x9775cd…621c | ||
| ≥ $4,500 | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | $8.7K | $178K | A | 0xa3143f…7e21 | ||
| ≥ $5,000 | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $964 | $371K | A | 0x1c4fd6…0a13 | ||
| ≥ $5,500 | 2027-01-01 | 5.7% | $492 | $190K | A | 0xb75b8c…aac8 | ||
| ≥ $6,000 | 2027-01-01 | 4.0% | — | $278K | A | 0x6132cc…918a | ||
| ≥ $6,500 | 2027-01-01 | 4.0% | $2.0K | $181K | A | 0x0f0499…3a80 | ||
| ≥ $7,000 | 2027-01-01 | 3.2% | $12 | $142K | A | 0x4ee2c6…4de0 | ||
| ≥ $7,500 | 2027-01-01 | 3.5% | $551 | $129K | A | 0x4fc872…aaa1 | ||
| ≥ $8,000 | 2027-01-01 | 3.1% | $2.8K | $222K | A | 0xac0b43…33c8 | ||
| ≥ $10,000 | 2027-01-01 | 2.3% | $1.8K | $446K | A | 0x201f51…a441 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | binance.com | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-DSZVH8N0R8",
"slug": "what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027",
"question": "Will Ethereum reach a specific price in 2026?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"ethereum",
"crypto-prices",
"price-prediction",
"2027-resolution",
"crypto-markets"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 16,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 5730270,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 81,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "binance.com",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}