Will Trump mention specific places in August? [ resolved 2026-08-31 ]
Will Trump say "Washington D.C." in August?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| "Washington D.C." | 2026-08-04 | 99.9% | $1.4K | $2.2K | C | 0xa12919…306e | ||
| "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | — | $200 | C | 0x0339f3…0427 | ||
| "Middle East" | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | — | $670 | C | 0x70584a…4506 | ||
| "Mexico" | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $5 | $533 | C | 0x7c1ea5…82c9 | ||
| "Los Angeles" | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $185 | $702 | C | 0xe9198c…62f6 | ||
| "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | $360 | $1.2K | C | 0x7d35cd…bfdc | ||
| "Mars" | 2026-08-31 | 100.0% | — | $2.3K | C | 0xccb462…8919 | ||
| "Gaza" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $40 | $2.0K | C | 0x43d043…a6dc | ||
| "Tehran" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $59 | $616 | C | 0xa54e71…2d71 | ||
| "Moscow" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $575 | C | 0x839129…1137 | ||
| "Greenland" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $20 | C | 0x7b7bca…2d1b | ||
| "Jerusalem" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $571 | C | 0x533976…59f3 | ||
| "Harvard" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $31 | $65 | C | 0xb329aa…3d21 | ||
| "Abbey Gate" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $200 | C | 0x71e039…d515 | ||
| "Penn Station" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $240 | C | 0x44c264…011e | ||
| "Smithsonian" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $80 | $3.3K | C | 0x225b89…1294 | ||
| "National Mall" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | $1.6K | C | 0x631999…3990 | ||
| "Lincoln Memorial" | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | $230 | $614 | C | 0x7f76cd…a039 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com venue-listed upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com venue-listed
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Trump say "Gaza" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Tehran" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "National Mall" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Harvard" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Abbey Gate" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Penn Station" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Moscow" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Greenland" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Jerusalem" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trump say "Smithsonian" in August? | polymarket | 2026-09-01 | 0% |
| YES | Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-28 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump say "Mars" in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-28 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-26 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump say "Middle East" in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-07 | 100% |
| YES | Will Trump say "Mexico" in August? | polymarket | 2026-08-05 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (17 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-places-will-trump-mention-in-august-20260728181450062/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-places-will-trump-mention-in-august-20260728181450062 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-places-will-trump-mention-in-august-20260728181450062") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8HQQGTNWZ3",
"slug": "what-places-will-trump-mention-in-august-20260728181450062",
"question": "Will Trump mention specific places in August?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"trump",
"politics",
"speech-analysis",
"geographic-mentions",
"2026",
"august-events"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 17542,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 34,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
"url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
"url": "upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}