What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index reach by 2026? [ resolves 2027-01-01 (162D) ]
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 8 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ 4,000% | 2027-01-01 | 4.0% | — | $8.0K | C | 0xcd56b4…3b89 | ||
| ≤ 6,000% | 2027-01-01 | 2.2% | $27 | $10K | C | 0x474dd2…3991 | ||
| ≤ 8,000% | 2027-01-01 | 7.0% | $27 | $4.6K | C | 0x35658b…117f | ||
| ≤ 10,000% | 2027-01-01 | 49.0% | $4 | $16K | C | 0xbb3392…6621 | ||
| ≥ 12,000% | 2027-01-01 | 100.0% | — | — | C | 0x935a9a…b0d0 | ||
| ≥ 14,000% | 2027-01-01 | 35.0% | $15 | $10.0K | C | 0x0018a5…ec7d | ||
| ≥ 16,000% | 2027-01-01 | 6.4% | — | $8.3K | C | 0xcc1388…6e00 | ||
| ≥ 18,000% | 2027-01-01 | 10.0% | $9 | $5.8K | C | 0xf6d8ff…71e4 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for the DFM Real Estate Index between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the DFM Real Estate Index "High" values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.
Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the DFM Real Estate Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI sources (2) · single authority
- tradingview.com venue-listed
- TradingView source of record from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 12,000 in 2026? | polymarket | 2026-03-18 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/what-level-will-the-dubai-real-estate-index-hit-in-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/what-level-will-the-dubai-real-estate-index-hit-in-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("what-level-will-the-dubai-real-estate-index-hit-in-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-NNQJMH5197",
"slug": "what-level-will-the-dubai-real-estate-index-hit-in-2026",
"question": "What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index reach by 2026?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"real-estate-index",
"dubai-markets",
"finance",
"price-level",
"2027-resolution"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 63207,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 62,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "TradingView",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "tradingview.com",
"url": "https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=DFM%3ADFMREI",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "TradingView",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}