Will Kennedy Stewart win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? [ resolves 2026-10-17 (86D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 39 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Azaroff | 2026-10-17 | 30.2% | $2.4K | $10K | C | 0xe3a241…4a03 | ||
| Ken Sim | 2026-10-17 | 23.0% | $200 | $21K | C | 0x010f3f…7ec8 | ||
| Pete Fry | 2026-10-17 | 14.2% | $1.4K | $21K | C | 0x1d4d4b…4df8 | ||
| Kareem Allam | 2026-10-17 | 11.0% | $1.6K | $59K | C | 0x574baa…1845 | ||
| John Coupar | 2026-10-17 | 4.5% | $16 | $4.7K | C | 0x495d71…ace6 | ||
| Kirk LaPointe | 2026-10-17 | 2.9% | — | $3.0K | C | 0xf42fda…facc | ||
| Sean Orr | 2026-10-17 | 2.9% | $67 | $2.6K | C | 0x2dd43d…4bef | ||
| Colleen Hardwick | 2026-10-17 | 2.7% | $58 | $3.0K | C | 0x668ccb…cc22 | ||
| Fred Harding | 2026-10-17 | 1.7% | $44 | $2.2K | C | 0xca2016…8caf | ||
| Rebecca Bligh | 2026-10-17 | 0.9% | $490 | $3.7K | C | 0xcb3a9c…73bd | ||
| Tim Louis | 2026-10-17 | 0.3% | — | $5.8K | C | 0xccead3…f0fb | ||
| Amanda Burrows | 2026-10-17 | 0.2% | — | $2.4K | C | 0x2cdf23…5113 | ||
| Person A | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x88316f…d004 | ||
| Person B | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4f0255…7db1 | ||
| Person C | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x848854…17fd | ||
| Person D | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6139fd…39d1 | ||
| Person E | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf96bdd…7f46 | ||
| Person F | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xcf7886…60bf | ||
| Person G | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x615b18…58d7 | ||
| Person H | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x174f71…9739 | ||
| Person I | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2cfb15…90ad | ||
| Person J | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x53ba2e…162a | ||
| Person K | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6adb89…d182 | ||
| Person L | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x67875d…41bd | ||
| Person M | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x51f81a…6a88 | ||
| Person N | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x91274a…324a | ||
| Person O | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x15adbc…55cf | ||
| Person P | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7ea5a0…eb44 | ||
| Person Q | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xaadccc…8bf3 | ||
| Person R | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xf829c3…2752 | ||
| Person S | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4a0983…ac34 | ||
| Person T | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x0c1736…b257 | ||
| Person U | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2e3f0c…2fac | ||
| Person V | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x7fe893…5785 | ||
| Person W | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x787f3f…64a5 | ||
| Person X | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5885e6…1baa | ||
| Person Y | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb8e696…fdc4 | ||
| Person Z | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x916c32…46ab | ||
| Someone else | 2026-10-17 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x13a9e3…c8e7 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
- official information from Vancouver from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
- Allam Vancouver mayor bid draws early speculative positioning 27% · $13K 24h
- 27% price grants Allam genuine contender status in a race that remains early and fluid.
- $13K in 24h is 25% of all-time Polymarket volume, a notable but measured accumulation for a local race.
- Vancouver mayoral contest draws cross-border attention given housing and urban-policy implications.
- Election expected fall 2026; positioning this early reflects name-recognition or endorsement catalysts.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/vancouver-mayoral-election-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/vancouver-mayoral-election-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("vancouver-mayoral-election-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-G39S6YRVR7",
"slug": "vancouver-mayoral-election-winner",
"question": "Will Kennedy Stewart win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"elections",
"politics",
"vancouver",
"canada",
"2026",
"municipal-election"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 39,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 139583,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 54,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official information from Vancouver",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}