Will the unit FDV be above $200M–$3B one day after launch? [ resolves 2028-01-01 (577D) ]
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $200,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 63.0% | $9 | $70K | C | 0x70eb82…7dbd | ||
| ≥ $400,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 55.0% | $2 | $50K | C | 0x775164…66c1 | ||
| ≥ $600,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 44.0% | $8 | $13K | C | 0xc8bf61…2b91 | ||
| ≥ $800,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 48.0% | — | $5.7K | C | 0xe79a0a…8e7e | ||
| ≥ $1,000,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 30.0% | — | $8.6K | C | 0x2d2be5…e60b | ||
| ≥ $1,500,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 51.0% | — | $1.6K | C | 0xec250d…2fad | ||
| ≥ $2,000,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 20.0% | — | $16K | C | 0xa76a27…3c81 | ||
| ≥ $3,000,000,000 | 2028-01-01 | 16.0% | — | $4.8K | C | 0x235ad1…b03c |
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/unit-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/unit-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("unit-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0M39GH7W59",
"slug": "unit-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
"question": "Will the unit FDV be above ___ one day after launch?",
"category": "crypto",
"tags": [
"crypto",
"token-launch",
"valuation-metric",
"fdv-benchmark",
"2028"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 8,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 170849,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 40,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://hyperunit.xyz/",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}