CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~3,330 EVENTS / ~30,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Tesla closing price, week of June 8, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-12 ]

polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 13 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
≥ $390 2026-06-12 100.0%
$1.2K $1.3K
C 0xe8ea24…07ad
≥ $395 2026-06-12 100.0%
$3.6K $7.1K
C 0x6dc222…e6a8
≥ $400 2026-06-12 100.0%
$1.9K $3.3K
C 0x37a9e3…3080
≥ $405 2026-06-12 100.0%
$939 $1.0K
C 0x32f91b…30c1
≥ $410 2026-06-12 0.0%
$1.9K $2.4K
C 0x5028bb…c598
≥ $415 2026-06-12 0.0%
$1.5K $1.5K
C 0xdb0b09…144c
≥ $420 2026-06-12 0.0%
$1.4K $1.4K
C 0x5200ef…9576
≥ $425 2026-06-12 0.0%
$15 $15
C 0x63d387…de88
≥ $430 2026-06-12 0.0%
$115 $325
C 0x4e56e6…c0ad
≥ $435 2026-06-12 0.0%
$15 $15
C 0x7e216b…4c10
≥ $440 2026-06-12 0.0%
$20 $20
C 0x345f3e…8ca3
≥ $445 2026-06-12 0.0%
$15 $15
C 0xded9c7…e5f8
≥ $450 2026-06-12 0.0%
$160 $165
C 0xff5f4b…aac9
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history link Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 13 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
platform source field polymarket.descriptionhttps://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history
sources (3) · single authority
  • https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history venue-listed
  • finance.yahoo.com venue-listed
  • Yahoo Finance source of record from rules text · editorial
resolution history
outcome market venue resolved final price
YES Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $405? polymarket 2026-06-12 100%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $410? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
YES Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $400? polymarket 2026-06-12 100%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $415? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $435? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $445? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $425? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $440? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
YES Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $390? polymarket 2026-06-12 100%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $420? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $430? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
NO Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $450? polymarket 2026-06-12 0%
YES Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 8 above $395? polymarket 2026-06-12 100%
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (13 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/tsla-above-on-june-12-2026/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/tsla-above-on-june-12-2026
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("tsla-above-on-june-12-2026")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C3GC7FB9Y7",
  "slug": "tsla-above-on-june-12-2026",
  "question": "Tesla closing price, week of June 8, 2026",
  "category": "financials",
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "stock-price",
    "tesla",
    "weekly-resolution",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 13,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 18561,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 84,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "commitment_committed_secondhand"
  ],
  "resolution_source": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history",
  "resolution_source_url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history",
  "source_status": "platform_named",
  "source_of_record": "Yahoo Finance",
  "resolution_source_list": [
    {
      "name": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "finance.yahoo.com",
      "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history",
      "provenance": "platform_api"
    },
    {
      "name": "Yahoo Finance",
      "url": null,
      "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
    }
  ],
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →