Will Trump, Putin, and Zelensky be seen together before 2027? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (149D) ]
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027 | 2026-12-31 | 7.0% | — | $85K | C | 0xa04dcb…33c3 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing.
The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Volodymyr Zelensky together.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
- Trump-Putin-Zelensky meeting stays a long shot Polymarket 9%
- Polymarket prices only 9% on Trump, Putin, and Zelensky being seen together before 2027.
- Zelensky's public refusal of three-way talks until after Russian elections is consistent with, and reinforces, the low 9% pricing.
- A near-identical Polymarket contract CM-EVT-FNBRJ6KY59 on a formal meeting (rather than being 'seen together') also sits at 9%, showing no spread between optics and substance.
- Resolves via UMA oracle; requires documented evidence of all three leaders physically present together before January 1, 2027.
- Trump-Putin-Zelensky in-person meeting stays a long shot at 14 percent Polymarket 14%
- The Polymarket contract on Trump, Putin, and Zelensky being seen together before 2027 prices at 14%, a long-shot read.
- Reports of a trilateral summit being floated in secret talks are at odds with the low 14% probability; the market prices the gap between diplomatic speculation and an actual on-camera meeting as very wide.
- The companion Polymarket contract on a Ukraine-Russia peace deal before 2027 (CM-EVT-DCQYWYX424) sits at only 11%, suggesting a summit and a deal are both seen as unlikely in the near term.
- Resolution requires Trump, Putin, and Zelensky to be physically present together and documented; a phone call or separate bilateral meetings would not resolve this contract.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-QP1YL1BSS0",
"slug": "trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027",
"question": "Will Trump, Putin, and Zelensky be seen together before 2027?",
"category": "geopolitics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"geopolitics",
"trump",
"ukraine-russia",
"diplomatic-meeting",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 84980,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 44,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}