Will the Tallahassee mayoral election be held by August 2026? [ resolves 2026-08-18 (26D) ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 12 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loranne Ausley | 2026-08-18 | 38.0% | $115 | $43K | C | 0x5e679f…a554 | ||
| Daryl Parks | 2026-08-18 | 26.9% | — | $2.6K | C | 0x992e3f…4826 | ||
| Jeremy Matlow | 2026-08-18 | 19.9% | — | $1.9K | C | 0xfaaf02…16e5 | ||
| Michael Foust | 2026-08-18 | 1.3% | — | $1.9K | C | 0xaed52c…73c1 | ||
| Al Lawson | 2026-08-18 | 0.3% | $25 | $18K | C | 0x78b532…4f8a | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x625ecd…baff | ||
| Candidate A | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x4ccf52…dcba | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x22fe41…e0df | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xd0801a…4f67 | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xef6ad3…d1f9 | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x2b8340…f1dd | ||
| Other | 2026-08-18 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9febdc…03ee |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- a consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
- official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/tallahassee-mayoral-election-winner-20260602161603006/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/tallahassee-mayoral-election-winner-20260602161603006 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("tallahassee-mayoral-election-winner-20260602161603006") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-8FMH2ZKGS2",
"slug": "tallahassee-mayoral-election-winner-20260602161603006",
"question": "Will the Tallahassee mayoral election be held by August 2026?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"tallahassee",
"2026",
"local-government",
"florida"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 12,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 67377,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 54,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}