Will Steve Bannon be exonerated in 2026? (multi-deadline series) [ resolved 2026-06-30 ]
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
On April 6, 2026, the United States Supreme Court threw out an appellate ruling that had upheld Steve Bannon’s 2022 conviction on Contempt of Congress charges (see: https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e sources (2)
- apnews.com venue-listed
- official information from relevant courts from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? | polymarket | 2026-07-02 | 0% |
| NO | Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30? | polymarket | 2026-05-01 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (2 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/steve-bannon-exonerated-by-april-30/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/steve-bannon-exonerated-by-april-30 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("steve-bannon-exonerated-by-april-30") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-L5STCK6ZM5",
"slug": "steve-bannon-exonerated-by-april-30",
"question": "Will Steve Bannon be exonerated in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"trump",
"legal-exoneration",
"2026",
"criminal-justice",
"conviction-overturned"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 29893,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 76,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e",
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "apnews.com",
"url": "https://apnews.com/article/supreme-court-capitol-riot-bannon-trump-4a4cf324096fc1bfed204d42b54d191e",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "official information from relevant courts",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}