S&P 500 closing price, June 12, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-12 ]
polymarket: [C] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 11 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $705 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $475 | $490 | C | 0x9efd07…673b | ||
| ≥ $710 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $20 | $20 | C | 0xffbfef…cb54 | ||
| ≥ $715 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $215 | $215 | C | 0x4f6b4a…a17e | ||
| ≥ $720 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $1.1K | $1.1K | C | 0x25e3d7…6f14 | ||
| ≥ $725 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $3.8K | $3.8K | C | 0x3c2a27…812c | ||
| ≥ $730 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $5.4K | $5.4K | C | 0x3568a9…e7f8 | ||
| ≥ $735 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $5.3K | $5.3K | C | 0xf71bb9…3ccf | ||
| ≥ $740 | 2026-06-12 | 100.0% | $4.6K | $4.6K | C | 0xb58bf9…0cb2 | ||
| ≥ $745 | 2026-06-12 | 0.0% | $1.9K | $1.9K | C | 0x8b6014…0a4f | ||
| ≥ $750 | 2026-06-12 | 0.0% | $6.1K | $6.1K | C | 0xd915a1…883f | ||
| ≥ $755 | 2026-06-12 | 0.0% | $3.0K | $3.0K | C | 0xc0b764…999e |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on June 12, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD sources (3) · single authority
- https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD venue-listed
- pythdata.app venue-listed
- Pyth source of record from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
| YES | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
| YES | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $710 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
| YES | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
| YES | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
| YES | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
| NO | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 0% |
| YES | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $705 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
| NO | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 0% |
| NO | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 0% |
| YES | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 12? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (11 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/spy-closes-above-on-june-12-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/spy-closes-above-on-june-12-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("spy-closes-above-on-june-12-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-LRWZ7XSFL8",
"slug": "spy-closes-above-on-june-12-2026",
"question": "S&P 500 closing price, June 12, 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"finance",
"equities",
"stock-index",
"spy",
"price-level"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 11,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 31966,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_committed_secondhand"
],
"resolution_source": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
"resolution_source_url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Pyth",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
"url": null,
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "pythdata.app",
"url": "https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Pyth",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}