Will Elon Musk ring the bell at SpaceX's IPO? [ resolved 2026-06-13 ]
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?
polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 1 market
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell | 2026-06-13 | 0.0% | $95K | $105K | C | 0xb2a514…d201 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered.
Qualifying Requirements:
- Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony.
- The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange.
- The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading.
- Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force.
Non-qualifying examples:
- Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony.
- Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf.
- Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound.
- Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone.
- Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony.
- Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue.
The resolution source will be photos or videos.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (1)
- photos or videos from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (1 resolved market). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/spacex-ipo-will-elon-musk-ring-the-bell-20260608201006493/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/spacex-ipo-will-elon-musk-ring-the-bell-20260608201006493 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("spacex-ipo-will-elon-musk-ring-the-bell-20260608201006493") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-T2G12G1TC5",
"slug": "spacex-ipo-will-elon-musk-ring-the-bell-20260608201006493",
"question": "Will Elon Musk ring the bell at SpaceX's IPO?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"spacex-ipo",
"tech",
"finance",
"elon-musk",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 1,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 105350,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 55,
"rcg_caps": [
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "photos or videos",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}