SpaceX first day share price, June 13, 2026 [ resolved 2026-06-13 ]
polymarket: [A] multiple sources, tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (1) · stated precedence rule
- another reliable source from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 300 (High)? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 0% |
| YES | Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 150 (High)? | polymarket | 2026-06-12 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (4 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/spacex-ipo-first-day-share-price-hits-20260608191407523/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/spacex-ipo-first-day-share-price-hits-20260608191407523 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("spacex-ipo-first-day-share-price-hits-20260608191407523") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-46RJQ2FLQ6",
"slug": "spacex-ipo-first-day-share-price-hits-20260608191407523",
"question": "SpaceX first day share price, June 13, 2026",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"spacex-ipo",
"first-day-trading",
"share-price",
"tech-ipo",
"finance"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 5,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 139640,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 82,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "another reliable source",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}