Will South Korea's annual inflation rate for 2026 exceed 3%? [ resolves 2026-12-31 (161D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 7 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Between 2.7% and 2.9% | 2026-12-31 | 37.9% | — | $139 | A | 0x73991c…8b39 | ||
| ≥ 3% | 2026-12-31 | 28.0% | — | $8.5K | A | 0x6e6279…48dd | ||
| Between 2.4% and 2.6% | 2026-12-31 | 21.5% | — | $145 | A | 0x4ca528…4da4 | ||
| Between 2.1% and 2.3% | 2026-12-31 | 11.5% | — | $159 | A | 0xfab337…6505 | ||
| Between 1.5% and 1.7% | 2026-12-31 | 1.2% | — | $1.0K | A | 0x79f55c…992b | ||
| ≥ 1.5% | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | — | $1.3K | A | 0xad8fbf…0eb9 | ||
| Between 1.8% and 2.0% | 2026-12-31 | 0.4% | — | $110 | A | 0x46ebc1…67db |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (5) · single authority
- mods.go.kr venue-listed
- mods.go.kr venue-listed
- South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS) source of record from rules text · editorial
- MODS Consumer Price Survey report from rules text · editorial
- MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report from rules text · editorial
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/south-korea-annual-inflation-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/south-korea-annual-inflation-2026 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("south-korea-annual-inflation-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-68FZKMY473",
"slug": "south-korea-annual-inflation-2026",
"question": "Will South Korea's annual inflation rate for 2026 exceed 3%?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economy",
"inflation",
"south-korea",
"economic-indicators",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 7,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11310,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS)",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "mods.go.kr",
"url": "https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "mods.go.kr",
"url": "https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS)",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "MODS Consumer Price Survey report",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}