Will the second-place finisher in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary receive fewer votes than the third-place finisher? [ resolved 2026-08-11 ]
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Norman | 2026-08-11 | 100.0% | $50 | $6.8K | B | 0x392509…5b2e | ||
| Duke Buckner | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | $131 | $942 | B | 0x3e9669…02a7 | ||
| Russell Fry | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | $640 | $3.8K | B | 0x6b8ba0…565e | ||
| Darline Graham Nordone | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | $455 | $4.7K | B | 0x2c4f79…cba1 | ||
| Mark Lynch | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | $35 | $3.4K | B | 0xb20227…efa2 | ||
| Mark Sanford | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | $30 | $712 | B | 0x9ee299…31aa | ||
| Sheri Biggs | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | $93 | $686 | B | 0xccd2ed…0956 | ||
| Pamela Evette | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | $619 | B | 0xafe16c…1475 | ||
| Trey Gowdy | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | $93 | $690 | B | 0x0ae398…018a | ||
| Henry McMaster | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | $30 | $705 | B | 0x2ef18b…c471 | ||
| Candidate A | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x580a4d…6fac | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x5bdcf2…b489 | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xbc4932…050d | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x511113…1798 | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x111dca…7a7e | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x2dd2ce…9a16 | ||
| Candidate G | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x6b3173…f228 | ||
| Candidate H | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x240339…f347 | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x51819c…f6a9 | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x31c682…6d5a | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-08-11 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x7e5963…5901 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (3) · stated precedence rule
scvotes.gov committed source State of South Carolina from rules text South Carolina Election Commission from rules text
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-14 | 100% |
| NO | Will Darline Graham Nordone place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-14 | 0% |
| NO | Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-13 | 0% |
| NO | Will Mark Sanford place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-13 | 0% |
| NO | Will Mark Lynch place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-13 | 0% |
| NO | Will Duke Buckner place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-12 | 0% |
| NO | Will Sheri Biggs place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-12 | 0% |
| NO | Will Pamela Evette place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-12 | 0% |
| NO | Will Trey Gowdy place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-12 | 0% |
| NO | Will Henry McMaster place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? | polymarket | 2026-08-12 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (10 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
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CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-second-place-20260730171850565/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-second-place-20260730171850565 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-second-place-20260730171850565") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Z5KQDWK640",
"slug": "south-carolina-senate-special-republican-primary-first-round-second-place-20260730171850565",
"question": "Will the second-place finisher in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary receive fewer votes than the third-place finisher?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"2026",
"south-carolina",
"republican-primary",
"ranked-choice"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 23131,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://scvotes.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "scvotes.gov",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "scvotes.gov",
"url": "https://scvotes.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "State of South Carolina",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "South Carolina Election Commission",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}