Will the Georgia Senate race be decided by January 4, 2027? [ resolves 2027-01-04 (165D) ]
kalshi: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Exchange Staff | United States Congress | not provided | Kalshi Staff | Other | — |
verbatim rules
kalshi
If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Georgia for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
platform source field
kalshi.settlement_sources → "United States Congress" sources (1) · single authority
- United States Congress source of record venue-listed
recent wire items
- Georgia Senate GOP odds stay low at 10% under volume 10% · $32K 24h
- Market prices only a 10% chance Republicans win the Georgia Senate race, heavily Democratic-leaning at current odds.
- Kalshi records $32K in 24h, 48% of all-time volume, nearly half the contract's history traded in a single session.
- A near-half lifetime volume print at low odds may signal a catalyst, new polling, candidate news, or fundraising data.
- Resolves YES if the Republican candidate wins the Georgia Senate general election.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/senatega-26/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/senatega-26 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("senatega-26") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-1S96Y2D1N4",
"slug": "senatega-26",
"question": "Will the Georgia Senate race be decided by January 4, 2027?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"us-senate-2026",
"georgia-politics",
"election-outcomes",
"republican-democrat",
"electoral-prediction"
],
"venues_covered": [
"kalshi"
],
"market_count": 2,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 250373,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 90,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "United States Congress",
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "United States Congress",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "United States Congress",
"url": "https://www.congress.gov/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
"proposer_model": "platform_staff",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}