Will Code Arena WebDev AI Lab be second-best by end of August? [ resolved 2026-09-01 ]
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 30 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other AI lab/company | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x728435…0ed0 | ||
| Company A | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xfe295e…f981 | ||
| Company B | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0ac8cf…6bb4 | ||
| Company C | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x676ad2…0e99 | ||
| Company D | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x55d55d…bb9d | ||
| Company E | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x36c4be…380c | ||
| Company F | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0321db…f722 | ||
| Company G | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xe12707…988c | ||
| Company H | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0f27f9…3af7 | ||
| Company I | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xed171e…cc28 | ||
| Company J | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0f4ac5…3bde | ||
| Company K | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x849169…58f8 | ||
| Company L | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xdcad34…8bba | ||
| Company M | 2026-08-31 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x1d3f48…d8d4 | ||
| Moonshot | 2026-09-01 | 100.0% | $1.2K | $16K | B | 0xb93df5…dfa3 | ||
| Anthropic | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $54 | $23K | B | 0x726c2e…e4ba | ||
| OpenAI | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $30 | $7.3K | B | 0x49a5dd…2d1f | ||
| Z.ai | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $223 | $2.1K | B | 0xba4935…ce3b | ||
| SpaceXAI | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $850 | $1.6K | B | 0x71d46f…9237 | ||
| Meta | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | — | $611 | B | 0xc982be…64ec | ||
| ByteDance | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | — | $625 | B | 0x21615b…2b9a | ||
| Alibaba | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $20 | $2.1K | B | 0x4b85da…2607 | ||
| MiniMax | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $684 | $1.3K | B | 0xdc9b91…cf83 | ||
| 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $454 | $2.0K | B | 0xfcb62f…06bf | |||
| Xiaomi | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $988 | $1.6K | B | 0xd255a1…d6af | ||
| DeepSeek | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | $42 | $2.0K | B | 0x23c1d5…4db9 | ||
| Thinky | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | — | $659 | B | 0xa71187…fed3 | ||
| Tencent | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | — | $1.1K | B | 0xa4dc15…4029 | ||
| Poolside | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | — | $574 | B | 0x1b5e79…a0dc | ||
| Mistral | 2026-09-01 | 0.0% | — | $772 | B | 0xf61ded…ce9b |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs sources (3) · single authority
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs venue-listed arena.ai venue-listed arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard committed source
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 100% |
| NO | Will Meta be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Google be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will DeepSeek be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will ByteDance be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Poolside be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will MiniMax be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Thinky be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Tencent be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Mistral be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
| NO | Will Xiaomi be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | polymarket | 2026-08-31 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (16 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
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programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-august-20260720215424125/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-august-20260720215424125 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-august-20260720215424125") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CV01C9CW73",
"slug": "second-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-lab-end-of-august-20260720215424125",
"question": "Will Code Arena WebDev AI Lab be second-best by end of August?",
"category": "technology",
"tags": [
"technology",
"ai",
"tech",
"code-arena",
"ai-benchmarks",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 30,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 63927,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 76,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
"resolution_source_url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
"url": null,
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "arena.ai",
"url": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}