CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? [ resolves 2026-05 – 2026-12 ]

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

polymarket: [C] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
markets · by resolution date
polymarket 3 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31 2026-05-31 0.2%
$39K
C 0x553240…4477
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30 2026-06-30 73.7%
$1.5K $172K
C 0xd492cb…df08
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31 2026-12-31 97.9%
$256K
C 0xf3c9f3…d0b8
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 3 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/romanian-pm-bolojan-out-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/romanian-pm-bolojan-out-by.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("romanian-pm-bolojan-out-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-JVYZGZ2NK4",
  "slug": "romanian-pm-bolojan-out-by",
  "question": "Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?",
  "category": "politics",
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "romania",
    "executive-succession",
    "political-tenure",
    "2026"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 3,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 467313,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 55,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "uncommitted_placeholder"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →