Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make a decision in September? [ resolved 2026-09-02 ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s September monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its September 2, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their September 2, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the September decision? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 100% |
| NO | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
| NO | Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate after the September decision? | polymarket | 2026-09-02 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-september-20260710022000963/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-september-20260710022000963 |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-september-20260710022000963") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-Z214XT8BR1",
"slug": "reserve-bank-of-new-zealand-decision-in-september-20260710022000963",
"question": "Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make a decision in September?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economy",
"monetary-policy",
"new-zealand",
"central-bank",
"interest-rates"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 3,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 18052,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 93,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "rbnz.govt.nz",
"url": "https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}