CM ClearMarket
SYSTEM: LIVE · PRICES: HOURLY REFRESH · COVERAGE: ~2,000 EVENTS / ~16,000 MARKETS · KALSHI + POLYMARKET

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? [ resolves 2025-06 – 2027-01 ]

Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 8 markets
market resolves P(YES) vol (24h) vol (cum) RCG venue id
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by June 30 2025-06-30 100.0%
$53K
C 0xe72c82…d444
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 18 2025-07-18 100.0%
$289K
C 0x5b6750…f42c
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31 2025-07-31 100.0%
$1.07M
C 0xb5f38d…7808
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31 2025-08-31 100.0%
$201K
C 0xad2319…5ab2
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by September 30 2025-09-30 100.0%
$109K
C 0x2f17b4…b0d0
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31 2025-12-31 100.0%
$677K
C 0x4a6260…48e8
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31 2026-03-31 0.1%
$196K
C 0xef8394…ad7b
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 2027-01-01 28.0%
$3 $156K
C 0xd3a3c1…b312
resolution architecture
venue proposer source citation arbitration class analyst notes
polymarket Whitelisted Proposers uncommitted not provided Optimistic Oracle (UMA) Other
verbatim rules
polymarket 8 markets · share this text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pump.fun launches a token and performs an airdrop by July 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Pump.fun, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
platform source field polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire

No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.

CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.

programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload

AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.

HTMLbrowsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset)https://clearmarket.fyi/events/pumpfun-airdop-by/
JSONREST API for developershttps://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/pumpfun-airdop-by.json
MCPagentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue)clearmarket.get_event("pumpfun-airdop-by")
AGENTAI crawler discovery index/llms.txt

Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.

raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint
{
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-F9ZR807B11",
  "slug": "pumpfun-airdop-by",
  "question": "Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "airdrop",
    "pump-fun",
    "token-distribution",
    "2025"
  ],
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "market_count": 8,
  "cumulative_volume_usd": 2750633,
  "resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
  "rcg_score": 54,
  "rcg_caps": [
    "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
  ],
  "resolution_source": null,
  "resolution_source_url": null,
  "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
  "proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
  "field_provenance": {
    "question": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial"
    },
    "tags": {
      "source": "clearmarket_editorial",
      "ai_drafted": true
    },
    "resolution_clarity_grade": {
      "source": "derived",
      "method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
    },
    "venues_covered": {
      "source": "derived"
    }
  }
}
snapshot 2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00 schema v0.2.0-universe all events →