Will the price of a dozen eggs in May be above $X? [ resolves 2026-06-10 (7D) ]
polymarket: [A] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 10 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤ $1.5 | 2026-06-10 | 0.5% | — | $1.7K | A | 0x54ad2f…c41d | ||
| $1.5 | 2026-06-10 | 0.1% | — | $3.3K | A | 0x32e064…ebd0 | ||
| $1.75 | 2026-06-10 | 1.3% | $97 | $6.6K | A | 0xe6c82c…6652 | ||
| $2 | 2026-06-10 | 47.0% | $336 | $10K | A | 0xd360ae…7b14 | ||
| $2.25 | 2026-06-10 | 48.0% | $3.2K | $15K | A | 0xa7b8ca…e1e5 | ||
| $2.5 | 2026-06-10 | 0.6% | $99 | $3.9K | A | 0x52c7d8…e115 | ||
| $2.75 | 2026-06-10 | 0.1% | — | $802 | A | 0x167640…2ba7 | ||
| $3 | 2026-06-10 | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | A | 0x903b8a…de42 | ||
| $3.25 | 2026-06-10 | 0.1% | — | $1.3K | A | 0x5b9499…b448 | ||
| ≥ $3.5 | 2026-06-10 | 0.1% | — | $858 | A | 0xbb2bfb…b3bb |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | Bls | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111 recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/price-of-dozen-eggs-in-may-835/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/price-of-dozen-eggs-in-may-835.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("price-of-dozen-eggs-in-may-835") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-GYH2GBCZK2",
"slug": "price-of-dozen-eggs-in-may-835",
"question": "Will the price of a dozen eggs in May be above $X?",
"category": "economics",
"tags": [
"economics",
"economy",
"inflation",
"commodity-pricing",
"food-prices",
"us-eggs"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 10,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 45527,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "A",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": "Bls",
"resolution_source_url": "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}