Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from a different party than the current one? [ resolves 2026-06-30 (27D) ]
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
polymarket: [C] reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by resolution date
polymarket 13 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat | 2026-06-30 | 56.0% | $554 | $10K | C | 0xbf3e73…f9c8 | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD | 2026-06-30 | 19.0% | — | $3.4K | C | 0xc4dd09…d6af | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL | 2026-06-30 | 9.0% | $9 | $4.1K | C | 0x20b0fe…b1a4 | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of USR | 2026-06-30 | 3.0% | — | $2.0K | C | 0x6ccf18…7494 | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR | 2026-06-30 | 1.1% | — | $2.3K | C | 0x730446…342b | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR | 2026-06-30 | 1.1% | — | $4.0K | C | 0xed799a…c09d | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from another party | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x382e78…d9b1 | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of Party B | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x995726…842a | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of Party D | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x10e5ac…e3b7 | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of Party F | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x96eaf7…d282 | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of Party A | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xa987ec…2993 | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of Party C | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x6edbb2…1211 | ||
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of Party E | 2026-06-30 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x46f34c…41a0 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to the political party of the next officially appointed and confirmed Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the Prime Minister must be both formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the prime minister comes from inside parliament, the party of the Prime Minister will be determined based on their formal party affiliation at the time they become Prime Minister. If the Prime Minister comes from outside parliament, their party will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting on which party they represent, hold membership in, or are formally affiliated with. If no clear affiliation exists, this market will resolve to “Independent/Technocrat”.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/party-of-next-prime-minister-of-romania-788/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/party-of-next-prime-minister-of-romania-788.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("party-of-next-prime-minister-of-romania-788") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-X7GBPRY0Y1",
"slug": "party-of-next-prime-minister-of-romania-788",
"question": "Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be from a different party than the current one?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"romanian-politics",
"prime-minister",
"political-party",
"elections",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 26035,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 56,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}