Will a Democrat win the Oklahoma gubernatorial primary? [ resolved 2026-06-16 ]
polymarket: [C] multiple sources, no tie-break·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 18 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyndi Munson | 2026-06-16 | 100.0% | $52 | $31K | C | 0xc8e04f…17f4 | ||
| Constance N. Johnson | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | $1.4K | C | 0x442779…ee04 | ||
| Candidate C | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xda2891…6147 | ||
| Candidate E | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3488e6…8f1e | ||
| Candidate G | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x437497…6b37 | ||
| Candidate I | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x251ec4…820a | ||
| Candidate K | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x190d4b…e7ec | ||
| Candidate M | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x13bde0…81bb | ||
| Candidate O | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xb95580…f4c9 | ||
| Arya Azma | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | $64 | $34K | C | 0xd969ad…ebbc | ||
| Candidate B | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x9898a8…50e5 | ||
| Candidate D | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0xea4181…e644 | ||
| Candidate F | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5adc6b…145b | ||
| Candidate H | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x3dc2b2…63c1 | ||
| Candidate J | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x190bc3…456d | ||
| Candidate L | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x06d18c…b99a | ||
| Candidate N | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x855be6…ac55 | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-06-16 | 0.0% | — | — | C | 0x5ae2ed…02ee |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Oklahoma, scheduled to take place on June 16, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Oklahoma Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ no committed source — see rules text above sources (2)
- Oklahoma Democratic Party from rules text · editorial
- overwhelming consensus of credible reporting from rules text · editorial
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Constance N. Johnson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| NO | Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 0% |
| YES | Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election? | polymarket | 2026-06-17 | 100% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (3 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/oklahoma-governor-democratic-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/oklahoma-governor-democratic-primary-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("oklahoma-governor-democratic-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-07-23. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-0D2Q11FF15",
"slug": "oklahoma-governor-democratic-primary-winner",
"question": "Will a Democrat win the Oklahoma gubernatorial primary?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"oklahoma",
"democratic-primary",
"2026",
"governor-race"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 18,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 66563,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "C",
"rcg_score": 68,
"rcg_caps": [
"multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
"commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": null,
"source_status": "no_committed_source",
"source_of_record": null,
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "Oklahoma Democratic Party",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
{
"name": "overwhelming consensus of credible reporting",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}