Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $220? [ resolves 2026-06-05 (2D) ]
polymarket: [B] single source·objective outcome methodology ›
distribution · by strike
polymarket 13 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥ $185 | 2026-06-05 | 99.9% | $281 | $2.7K | B | 0xb4874c…572d | ||
| ≥ $190 | 2026-06-05 | 98.0% | — | $10 | B | 0xa75bc4…5293 | ||
| ≥ $195 | 2026-06-05 | 87.6% | $10 | $2.3K | B | 0xaf65fd…3ed9 | ||
| ≥ $200 | 2026-06-05 | 95.0% | $66 | $256 | B | 0x73afee…b79b | ||
| ≥ $205 | 2026-06-05 | 80.0% | — | $5 | B | 0x040114…8f93 | ||
| ≥ $210 | 2026-06-05 | 77.0% | — | $5 | B | 0xd2deb1…c19b | ||
| ≥ $215 | 2026-06-05 | 85.0% | $89 | $891 | B | 0x71010b…377e | ||
| ≥ $220 | 2026-06-05 | 64.0% | $873 | $2.8K | B | 0xd3fb12…eeb3 | ||
| ≥ $225 | 2026-06-05 | 54.0% | $1.0K | $1.3K | B | 0xe1f8fe…9911 | ||
| ≥ $230 | 2026-06-05 | 37.0% | $385 | $691 | B | 0x009477…e884 | ||
| ≥ $235 | 2026-06-05 | — | $205 | $205 | B | 0x668fc4…6fc6 | ||
| ≥ $240 | 2026-06-05 | — | — | — | B | 0x4e7d5c…39e9 | ||
| ≥ $245 | 2026-06-05 | 11.0% | $400 | $550 | B | 0xaa9668…d4f5 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | uncommitted | link | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
platform source field
polymarket.description → https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history recent wire items
monitoring status: active no active wire
No CM Signal wire has been published for this event yet.
CM Signal’s news-cycle scan surfaces the day’s top stories alongside the prediction markets pricing them. When a story references this event, its wire is published here and links back to this page.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
AI grounded search reads embedded JSON-LD in HTML. Developers query REST. Agentic AI clients (Claude Desktop, Cursor) call MCP tools. AI crawlers index via /llms.txt. Same canonical record at every surface.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/nvda-above-on-june-5-2026/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/nvda-above-on-june-5-2026.json |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("nvda-above-on-june-5-2026") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-06-03. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-306N5W5ZW3",
"slug": "nvda-above-on-june-5-2026",
"question": "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 1 above $220?",
"category": "financials",
"tags": [
"financials",
"finance",
"stock-price",
"nvda",
"weekly-resolution",
"2026"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 13,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 11816,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 84,
"rcg_caps": [
"uncommitted_illustrative"
],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history",
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}