Will the Republican primary winner be decided for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District? [ resolved 2026-09-08 ]
polymarket: [B] single source·reporting consensus methodology ›
distribution · by outcome · marks: daily snapshot
polymarket 21 markets
| market | resolves | P(YES) | vol (24h) | vol (cum) | RCG | venue id | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony DiLorenzo | 2026-09-08 | 100.0% | — | $4.3K | B | 0x915861…0959 | ||
| Melissa Bailey | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | $1.6K | B | 0x6d505d…1440 | ||
| Brian Cole | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | $2.0K | B | 0xf18cb2…89de | ||
| Elizabeth Girard | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | $14K | B | 0xf6170e…acf7 | ||
| Hollie Noveletsky | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | $24K | B | 0x6f21d1…1f9f | ||
| Another candidate | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x44e19b…2100 | ||
| Person A | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x8cd98a…3bed | ||
| Person B | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xa87153…b289 | ||
| Person C | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xa8c0d4…5b49 | ||
| Person D | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x8f1fbb…0225 | ||
| Person E | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x7a7a75…f9df | ||
| Person F | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xa1f1cb…bd3a | ||
| Person G | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x16b30f…7fdc | ||
| Person H | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xaf69a8…7600 | ||
| Person I | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xdbfdb7…ba80 | ||
| Person J | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x253f36…15f9 | ||
| Person K | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xc5cd6f…f4aa | ||
| Person L | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x626065…b82b | ||
| Person M | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x0073f1…c5de | ||
| Person N | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0xac75e6…0418 | ||
| Person O | 2026-09-08 | 0.0% | — | — | B | 0x6a59fd…6911 |
resolution architecture
| venue | proposer | source | citation | arbitration | class | analyst notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Whitelisted Proposers | not provided | not provided | Optimistic Oracle (UMA) | Other | — |
verbatim rules
polymarket
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
platform source field
polymarket.resolutionSource → ∅ none returned sources (2) · single authority
resolution history
| outcome | market | venue | resolved | final price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | Will Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | polymarket | 2026-09-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Brian Cole be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | polymarket | 2026-09-09 | 0% |
| YES | Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | polymarket | 2026-09-09 | 100% |
| NO | Will Elizabeth Girard be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | polymarket | 2026-09-09 | 0% |
| NO | Will Hollie Noveletsky be the Republican Nominee for NH-01? | polymarket | 2026-09-09 | 0% |
Resolution dates are the venue's settlement timestamps (5 resolved markets). Rows shown as "by [date]" carry the contract deadline: the venue no longer exposes a settlement time for them. PENDING upgrades to a final outcome on the next refresh.
recent wire items
- DiLorenzo leads NH-01 GOP field at 76% on Polymarket 76% · $17K 24h
- Polymarket prices DiLorenzo at 76%, market assigns him a strong but not certain path to the nomination.
- 24h volume of $16K is 53% of all-time flow, the majority of lifetime trading arriving in a single day.
- Primary consolidation dynamics or a rival's exit may be concentrating capital behind DiLorenzo.
- Resolves on the Republican nominee outcome for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District.
programmatic access · four surfaces, same payload
One canonical record at every surface — embedded JSON-LD, REST, MCP, and /llms.txt.
| HTML | browsers, AI grounded search, crawlers (embedded JSON-LD @type: Dataset) | https://clearmarket.fyi/events/nh-01-republican-primary-winner/ |
| JSON | REST API for developers | https://api.clearmarket.fyi/v1/events/nh-01-republican-primary-winner |
| MCP | agentic AI tool call (Claude Desktop, Cursor, Continue) | clearmarket.get_event("nh-01-republican-primary-winner") |
| AGENT | AI crawler discovery index | /llms.txt |
Snapshot 2026-08-04. Venue data via Kalshi + Polymarket APIs. Editorial fields (tags, editorial_notes) are ClearMarket-drafted with AI assistance under editorial review. Derived fields (venues_covered, resolution_clarity_grade, rcg_score) computed at serve time. Full per-field map in the JSON record under field_provenance.
raw JSON record · same payload returned by REST endpoint {
"event_id": "CM-EVT-CGQ5HMR728",
"slug": "nh-01-republican-primary-winner",
"question": "Will the Republican primary winner be decided for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District?",
"category": "politics",
"tags": [
"politics",
"elections",
"2026",
"nh-01",
"republican-primary",
"us-house"
],
"venues_covered": [
"polymarket"
],
"market_count": 21,
"cumulative_volume_usd": 46452,
"resolution_clarity_grade": "B",
"rcg_score": 66,
"rcg_caps": [],
"resolution_source": null,
"resolution_source_url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
"source_status": "platform_named",
"source_of_record": "rnc.org",
"resolution_source_list": [
{
"name": "rnc.org",
"url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
"provenance": "platform_api"
},
{
"name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
"url": null,
"provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
}
],
"arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
"proposer_model": "managed_whitelist",
"field_provenance": {
"question": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial"
},
"tags": {
"source": "clearmarket_editorial",
"ai_drafted": true
},
"resolution_clarity_grade": {
"source": "derived",
"method": "rcg_v2_7factor"
},
"venues_covered": {
"source": "derived"
}
}
}